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Weekly Digest:

Clash of the Titans VI

Supported by PwC

     

#ERCTitans

       

On 30th November 2016, the Economic Research Council hosted the sixth annual "Clash of the Titans" event.  We invited three notable economic alumni from the top three university economics departments in the country (Graham Gudgin from Cambridge, Vicky Pryce from LSE, and Paul Ormerod from Oxford) to give their predictions for the year ahead.

We asked them to focus on a number of categories:

  • UK GDP growth (Quarterly, % change)
  • UK Inflation Rate (CPI All Items, % change on previous year, averaged over 3 month period)
  • UK Unemployment Rate (Quarterly, all 16 and over, SA)
  • UK Interest Rate (Quarterly average of the official Bank Rate)
  • UK Average Earnings Growth (Quarterly % growth on same 3 month period in previous year, excluding bonuses and arrears)
  • Tie-breaker: The most expensive that a troy ounce of Gold will be (in dollars) between 5th January and 31st October 2017.

We are no longer accepting entries to this year's public competition.  Final results will be announced in December 2017, but we will be updating the scoreboard on this page as the year progresses.  You can see a list of previous winners of the competition here.

Current Standings

(as of 2/2/17)

1. = Master Yoda 2 (30)
2. = Sean Holly 2 (32)
3. = Dan James 2 (69)
4. = Douglas March 2 (82)
5. = Oscar Binny 2 (90)
6. = Chris Todd-Davies 2 (147)
7. = Matthew Woolmore 2 (262)
8. = James Hewett 2 (265)
9. = Pete Comley 2 (277)
10. = Michael Baxter 2 (282)
11. = Bogdan Polovinko 3 (22)
12. = Polovinko Bogdan 3 (67)
13. = Nicholas Thorn 3 (89)
14. = Ben Eyre-White 3 (90)
15. = Shabbir Merali 3 (109)
16. = Nicola Sawford 3 (277)
17. = Seb Hancock 3 (309)
18. = Sam McDonald 3 (342)
19. = Theo Banner 3 (374)
20. = Shrina Parekh 3 (382)
21. = Steven Websdale 3 (392)
22. = Daniele Viappiani 3 (407)
23. = Christina Musson 3 (409)
24. = Angela Pearce 3 (425)
25. = Samina Pandor 3 (462)
26= = Graham van Terheyden 3 (582)
26= = Peter Szabo 3 (582)
28. = Serene 3 (632)
29= = Hamzat Ken Isah 3 (812)
29= = Hamzat Ken Isah 3 (812)
31. = Louis Parrent 3 (844)
32. = Lingling (Kelly) Chang 4 (8)
33. = William McKenzie 4 (10)
34. = Rob Daniel 4 (18)
35. = Nigel Hauck 4 (54)
36. = Andrew Sentance 4 (57)
37= = Roman Cosentino 4 (64)
37= = Sophie Alders 4 (64)
39. = James Sarson 4 (82)
40. = Nina Kramer 4 (99)
41. = Gary Slater 4 (112)
42. = Tim Goldfinch 4 (157)
43. = Peter Phillips 4 (169)
44. = Tim Goldfinch 4 (182)
45. = Dom Huber 4 (189)
46. = Justin Farrington Smith 4 (207)
47. = Helen Mossman 4 (214)
48. = Kirsten Siemon 4 (229)
49. = Andrew Corner 4 (232)
50. = David Morgan 4 (234)
51. = Thomas Randell 4 (235)
52. = Thomas Conley 4 (309)
53. = Christina Napier 4 (387)
54= = Alex Ralphs 4 (390)
54= = Freddie 4 (390)
56= = Alexnader Galouzis 4 (392)
56= = Omar Maimouni 4 (392)
58= = Archita Tayal 4 (407)
58= = Owen Sy 4 (407)
60= = Rory Reed 4 (422)
60= = Wes Simonides 4 (422)
62. = Amy Popiolek 4 (426)
63. = Aoife Lowe-Davies 4 (432)
64. = Mette Lehrmann 4 (439)
65. = Ruben Bo Dower 4 (457)
66. = Karnan Sembian 4 (545)
67. = Joyce Tao 4 (547)
68. = Peter Vaughan 4 (550)
69. = Kristopher Cawood 4 (584)
70. = Zac Gross 4 (632)
71. = Lorna Epperson 4 (844)
72. = William Tremelling 5 (18)
73= = Laurie Patten 5 (32)
73= = Nathan Woolley 5 (32)
75= = Dilip Shah 5 (42)
75= = Isabel Roszkowski 5 (42)
77= = Hector Calvo 5 (82)
77= = Tom White 5 (82)
79. = Krasimir Dinev 5 (88)
80= = George Squibbs 5 (107)
80= = John Hearn 5 (107)
82. = Mark Trantham 5 (122)
83= = Dom Cullum 5 (124)
83= = Helen Maas 5 (124)
85. = Roy Simpson 5 (132)
86. = Michael Fay 5 (141)
87= = Andrew Goodwin 5 (182)
87= = Edgar Chemla 5 (182)
89= = Jonathan Croud 5 (197)
89= = Joseph Kane 5 (197)
91. = Frank 5 (207)
92. = Michelle Pesce 5 (229)
93= = Ian Andrews 5 (232)
93= = Simon de Baat 5 (232)
95. = Holly Blahnik 5 (238)
96. = Christian Petterson 5 (239)
97. = Alan Davies 5 (243)
98= = David Cropper 5 (264)
98= = Pauline Travers 5 (264)
100= = Alistow Blake 5 (272)
100= = Tabitha Owen 5 (272)
102. = Aimee Allam 5 (279)
103. = Warren Quinn 5 (281)
104= = Anton Gospodinov 5 (282)
104= = Howard Mighell 5 (282)
104= = Tom Flynn 5 (282)
107. = Charlie Colborn 5 (283)
108. = Emile Galatti 5 (289)
109. = Andrew Lorne 5 (290)
110. = Amal Cian Agastin 5 (295)
111. = Louis Foster 5 (332)
112. = Alan Coleman 5 (350)
113. = Oscar Matthews-Wright 5 (372)
114. = Karen Lucas 5 (377)
115. = Eden Hamilton 5 (382)
116. = Coln Duxberry 5 (407)
117= = Michelle Munyi 5 (432)
117= = Rebecca Harding 5 (432)
117= = Sean Wong 5 (432)
117= = Toby Okoli 5 (432)
121. = Christina Wilkes 5 (439)
122. = Terence Cooper 5 (458)
123= = Miles Woods 5 (464)
123= = Tom Severino 5 (464)
125. = Alex De Gelas 5 (467)
126= = Steve Douglas 5 (527)
126= = Virinchi Velchuru 5 (527)
128. = Robin Henry 5 (532)
129. = Cameron Davidson 5 (585)
130. = Cassandra Oakes 5 (700)
131. = Ken Rice 5 (764)
132. = Andrew Stebles 5 (1532)
133. = Aaron Mathews 6 (2)
134. = Ross Bogert 6 (43)
135. = Julian Barker 6 (57)
136. = Peter Prior-Mills 6 (67)
137. = Emil Marlowe 6 (75)
138. = Jonathan Furness 6 (90)
139= = James England 6 (92)
139= = James Watson 6 (92)
139= = Marcus Chambers 6 (92)
142= = Gabriel Howse 6 (114)
142= = Polly Maguire 6 (114)
144. = James MoncurBrown 6 (134)
145. = Max Verhoeven 6 (139)
146. = Cory Whitman 6 (164)
147. = Nick Rakowski 6 (180)
148. = James Gildea 6 (182)
149. = Ezekiel Quartey 6 (206)
150= = Al Marshall 6 (232)
150= = Hannah 6 (232)
150= = Karim Q 6 (232)
153. = Lindsay Jenkins 6 (239)
154= = Abhai Rajguru 6 (257)
154= = Tim Breslin 6 (257)
156. = michael kenney 6 (264)
157. = Daniel Wooley 6 (275)
158. = David Potter 6 (282)
159. = Adam Vallo 6 (297)
160. = George Hall 6 (301)
161. = Kevin van der Beek 6 (304)
162. = Mike Wallach 6 (309)
163. = Matt Farrow 6 (315)
164= = Anna-Rose King 6 (332)
164= = Mark Hutt 6 (332)
164= = Simon Danielli 6 (332)
167. = Michael Mainelli 6 (412)
168. = Cassie McNab 6 (414)
169. = Jack S Devlin 6 (432)
170. = Anita Hummel 6 (480)
171. = Donna Trump 6 (507)
172. = Eman 6 (517)
173= = Lucy Derrickson 6 (564)
173= = Maria Jansing 6 (564)
175. = Dan Tomlinson 6 (670)
176. = Manuel J Porras 6 (682)
177. = Hannah Kerry 6 (702)
178. = Fin Collings 6 (732)
179. = Conrad Jordan 6 (1564)
180. = Choi´╝îChing Yan (Michelle) 7 (8)
181. = Alex Bottomley 7 (17)
182. = Jack Dunkelberg 7 (18)
183. = John Ryan 7 (22)
184. = Adam Harmon 7 (58)
185. = Bertie Hazell 7 (72)
186. = Francis Fennelly 7 (82)
187= = George Linton 7 (89)
187= = Gerry Mark 7 (89)
189= = Angus Suttle 7 (132)
189= = Callum Blacow 7 (132)
189= = Cambridge (Graham Gudgin) 7 (132)
189= = Jacob Rumley 7 (132)
193. = John Quinn 7 (152)
194. = Ethan Reier 7 (164)
195. = Gary 7 (167)
196. = Greg Opie 7 (169)
197. = Natalie Wood 7 (178)
198. = David Tan 7 (182)
199. = James Gordon 7 (197)
200. = David Rios 7 (212)
201. = Carl Fisher 7 (230)
202. = Richard Winton 7 (232)
203. = Naren Dutta 7 (237)
204. = Howard Spears 7 (239)
205. = Adam Chong 7 (243)
206. = Alex Thwaite 7 (256)
207. = John Davison 7 (257)
208. = James Harper 7 (269)
209= = Antonia Dineen 7 (277)
209= = Bianca Todorut 7 (277)
209= = Chris Gardner 7 (277)
209= = Lochan Korpal 7 (277)
213= = David Robertson 7 (282)
213= = Ross Hay 7 (282)
215. = Andrea Sinnott 7 (300)
216. = John Hodgson 7 (312)
217. = Dee Upshur 7 (314)
218. = Andrew Somerville 7 (332)
219. = Renedi 7 (345)
220. = Bruce Hagwood 7 (350)
221= = Andrew Purves 7 (382)
221= = Jamele McIntosh 7 (382)
223. = Teresa McCracken 7 (414)
224. = Mark 7 (432)
225. = Luke Corning 7 (444)
226. = Saul Drury 7 (464)
227= = Robell Astaw 7 (482)
227= = Teja von Holzschueher 7 (482)
229. = Mandeeq 7 (507)
230. = Jimmy Greenly 7 (514)
231. = Andrew Cranmer 7 (532)
232. = Holly Parish 7 (577)
233. = Eddie Hoghton 7 (581)
234. = Zach Gillam 7 (603)
235. = Sally Cantero 7 (639)
236. = Edesiri Akati-udi 7 (642)
237. = Lina Lukoseviciute 8 (8)
238. = Elizabeth Barta 8 (11)
239. = Lukas Lastas 8 (51)
240. = David Dike 8 (70)
241. = Sebastian Turner 8 (82)
242. = Emma Rose 8 (83)
243. = Catrin Murphy 8 (86)
244. = Gerard Tyler 8 (95)
245= = David Field 8 (132)
245= = Neal Judd 8 (132)
245= = Ross Dexter 8 (132)
248. = Lora Botelho 8 (139)
249. = Edward Cubitt 8 (151)
250= = Grant Fitzner 8 (162)
250= = Matthew Elson 8 (162)
252. = Steven Engberg 8 (184)
253. = Thomas Harper 8 (194)
254. = Hasan Dur 8 (199)
255. = Joseph Runchman 8 (207)
256. = James Young 8 (212)
257. = Eric Cullen 8 (214)
258. = Jon Moulton 8 (218)
259. = Robert Mann 8 (226)
260. = Dan King 8 (229)
261. = Liam mackle 8 (232)
262. = James Elkington 8 (235)
263. = Caleb Jansens 8 (250)
264. = Tom Dobson 8 (264)
265. = Jon Exley 8 (282)
266. = James Brookman 8 (296)
267. = Allen Testerman 8 (300)
268. = Wesley Hui 8 (301)
269= = Oxford (Paul Omerod) 8 (307)
269= = Sanjeev Menon 8 (307)
271. = eleanor verrier 8 (311)
272. = Daniel Hodson 8 (314)
273. = Naomi Cauvas 8 (320)
274. = Brett Adessi 8 (325)
275. = Ben Ward 8 (330)
276. = Nick Cattermole 8 (332)
277. = Adam potter 8 (342)
278. = Caroline Reuben 8 (410)
279= = Nick Cartwright 8 (432)
279= = Richard Oirschot 8 (432)
281. = Sam Akpan 8 (452)
282= = Oliver Bond 8 (482)
282= = Sarath Murugan 8 (482)
284. = Dominic Teeling 8 (577)
285. = Maxamillian John 8 (607)
286= = Hannelore Elsden 8 (682)
286= = Karthik Puravankara 8 (682)
288. = Marco Yu 8 (762)
289. = George Flynn 8 (832)
290. = W Barker 9 (82)
291. = Aidan McCallm 9 (85)
292. = Sandy Taylor 9 (132)
293. = Timothy Yandle 9 (147)
294= = Stacia Borislavov 9 (164)
294= = Will Bristol 9 (164)
296. = Thomas Spencer 9 (172)
297= = Andrew Jagger 9 (182)
297= = Hugh Hawkins 9 (182)
297= = Kevin Osei 9 (182)
297= = Matthew Davies 9 (182)
297= = Zaeem Bhanji 9 (182)
302. = Thomas Markovitch 9 (203)
303. = Dan Britton 9 (211)
304= = Michael 9 (232)
304= = Piers Harmer 9 (232)
304= = Stephen Clarke 9 (232)
307. = Peter Cummings 9 (258)
308= = Ed Blois-Brooke 9 (264)
308= = Eli Janowski 9 (264)
308= = Sam Gagliardi 9 (264)
311. = Lindsay McKinley 9 (289)
312= = Adrian Reuter 9 (300)
312= = Brett Schneider 9 (300)
314. = Andy Smith 9 (328)
315. = Emiliano Russo 9 (357)
316. = Helen Antonis 9 (374)
317. = Samuel Gold 9 (382)
318. = Liam Jolliff 9 (392)
319= = Laurence Oliver 9 (414)
319= = Michael Akerman 9 (414)
321. = Colette Roux 9 (418)
322. = Anna McKenna 9 (450)
323. = Zayn Riaz 9 (455)
324= = Cedric Ware 9 (464)
324= = Claudia Gross 9 (464)
326. = Natashya Lalani 9 (541)
327. = James Villano 9 (613)
328. = Glen Mehn 9 (632)
329. = Vera Dean 10 (31)
330. = Jack Ellis 10 (32)
331. = Sam Miller 10 (82)
332. = Andy Silvester 10 (92)
333. = Tim Coleman 10 (107)
334. = Aaron Finlayson 10 (132)
335. = Rob Gill 10 (142)
336. = Giacomo Donati Clarke 10 (168)
337. = Oscar Moyes 10 (184)
338. = Katie Tatham 10 (201)
339. = Sam Gurbutt 10 (207)
340. = Gavin Jones 10 (232)
341. = Georgia Crawford Dellar 10 (238)
342. = Anthony Glaser 10 (250)
343. = Robert Sharman 10 (254)
344. = Lucy Kyger 10 (264)
345= = Michael Tattersall 10 (282)
345= = Miles Novotny 10 (282)
345= = Tony Campbell 10 (282)
348. = Leighton Hughes 10 (306)
349. = Eman Dickens 10 (316)
350. = Aagam Shah 10 (357)
351. = Karen Cross 10 (364)
352= = Henry Forder 10 (382)
352= = Martin Ward 10 (382)
352= = Matt Newton 10 (382)
355. = Laura Meissner 10 (389)
356. = Bruce McRobie 10 (432)
357. = Ivan Hall 10 (450)
358. = Oliver Moore 10 (464)
359. = Darlene Dike 10 (473)
360. = Abbas Adejonwo 10 (482)
361. = Ryan Abels 10 (514)
362. = Meredith 10 (523)
363. = Ian Lewis 10 (573)
364. = Jonathan Gusson 10 (845)
365. = Luis Valenzuela 10 (882)
366. = Glen Morris 11 (14)
367. = Colin 11 (17)
368. = Jon Beckett 11 (63)
369. = Roy Lonergan 11 (83)
370. = Aidan Paul 11 (132)
371. = Heino Vockrodt 11 (147)
372. = Christine 11 (162)
373. = Deirdre Flynn 11 (180)
374. = Pamela Barker 11 (182)
375. = Samuel Ennis 11 (202)
376. = georgia pienaar 11 (235)
377. = Stephan Michalski 11 (265)
378. = Tom Chatfield 11 (308)
379. = Miranda Ackerman 11 (314)
380. = Ruben 11 (332)
381. = Bruno Mauney 11 (375)
382. = Allison Jepson 11 (400)
383. = Oskar Vaidya 11 (432)
384. = Sonya Swiderski 11 (799)
385. = Hamzat Ken Isah 11 (813)
386. = d spencer 11 (1051)
387. = William Barker 12 (18)
388. = Jamie Robinson 12 (58)
389. = Wu Que (Titus) 12 (166)
390= = David LT 12 (182)
390= = Johnny Reynolds 12 (182)
392= = Gill Perkins 12 (214)
392= = Kurtis Henry 12 (214)
394. = Cristen Wegener 12 (234)
395= = Adam Cooper 12 (257)
395= = simon purvis 12 (257)
397= = Daniel Greenwood 12 (282)
397= = Graham Ablett 12 (282)
397= = MIKE WHEELER 12 (282)
397= = Tilly Parke 12 (282)
401. = Neil Arbore 12 (314)
402. = Saul Dawes 12 (349)
403. = Theresa Hirsch 12 (360)
404. = Richard Hawkins 12 (377)
405. = Yi Lian Lee 12 (382)
406. = Robbie Griffith 12 (401)
407. = Jimmy Nipps 12 (432)
408. = Jeremy Vincent 12 (482)
409. = Andrew Simon Conway 12 (507)
410. = LSE (Vicky Pryce) 12 (732)
411. = Paul Harrison 12 (767)
412. = Tim 12 (783)
413. = Marc Brennan 12 (1019)
414. = Geo Sato Rain 13 (16)
415. = Ben Turpin 13 (17)
416. = Fraser Smith 13 (18)
417. = Larissa Strand 13 (26)
418. = Ben Watson 13 (126)
419. = Rebecca Driscoll 13 (159)
420. = simon opie 13 (178)
421. = Georgia graham 13 (182)
422= = Patrick Abbey 13 (232)
422= = Pooria Beigi 13 (232)
424. = Karan Sanghavi 13 (282)
425. = Stuart Cockburn 13 (332)
426. = Annika 13 (369)
427. = CATS CAMBRIDGE A2 ECONOMICS E1 13 (382)
428. = Benjamin Watson 14 (126)
429. = Dunmola 14 (132)
430. = Ken Liebold 14 (197)
431. = Edmund Dannenberg 14 (202)
432. = Tom Marsland 14 (233)
433. = Anna Tighe 14 (247)
434. = Colin Taylor 14 (252)
435. = R Louis 14 (264)
436. = Hugo Yap 14 (314)
437. = Rob Clifford 15 (1)
438. = nicholas finney 15 (127)
439. = Sam Horgan 15 (161)
440. = George Oakman 15 (170)
441= = borgia Su 15 (182)
441= = John Mackintosh 15 (182)
443. = Glyn Manton 15 (707)
444. = Gavin 16 (31)
445. = Andy 16 (92)
446. = Tom Hobohm 16 (167)
447. = Charles MacMillan 16 (383)
448. = Graeme Burton 16 (632)
449= = Damon de Laszlo 16 (741)
449= = Jane Jones 16 (741)
451. = Neil Scott 16 (918)
452. = Michael Arnott 17 (165)
453. = Gaurang Rami 17 (172)
454. = Giacomo Cattoretti 17 (184)
455. = Isabelle Barclay 17 (188)
456. = Tom Noakes 17 (199)
457. = Roy Macrae 17 (204)
458. = Jacob Sorenson 18 (216)
459. = William Moriarty 18 (1982)
460. = Samuel Portas 19 (82)
461. = Emily Cutler 19 (232)
462. = Ronaldo Nazaré 19 (282)
463. = Rob de Laszlo 19 (382)
464. = Frank Brierley 19 (532)
465. = James 19 (1282)
466. = Patrick Voss 22 (86)
467. = Nhung Doan 22 (98)
468. = Sam Juthani 23 (118)
469. = Arthur Jung 24 (386)
470. = William de Laszlo 24 (424)
471. = Christopher Kuether 25 (130)
472. = Abdul Dumbaya 25 (368)
473. = Jeremy Tee 25 (632)
474. = Yongze (Andy) Du 26 (3)
475. = Maximilian Haddon 26 (97)
476. = Thomas Brandford 28 (132)
477. = Joshua Bailey 29 (1215)
478. = Karnan Sembian 30 (168)
479. = Robert Duffy 30 (382)
480. = Freddy Main 30 (582)
481. = Joseph Wales 30 (872)
482. = Jeremy Beckwith 31 (144)
483. = Denise Rayner 32 (364)
484. = Joshua Parrisshind 33 (22)
485. = Jake Cushion 33 (1792)
486. = Rory Cook 34 (45002)
487. = Gregor Welton 35 (543)
488. = Robin Steed 40 (182)
489. = Gillean Brook 42 (527)
490. = Peter Sainsbury 44 (57)
491. = Tibor Heskett 44 (382)
492. = Will J Burton 44 (1082)
493. = Bolu 48 (132)
494. = jonas crosland 49 (568)
495. = Toby Pinto 52 (50)
496. = Gerald ringe 53 (680)
497. = Leo Taylor 54 (83)
498. = Leo Solloway 56 (1215)
499. = Edward Alger 56 (1548)
500. = Minming (Angela) Lai 57 (1218)
501. = Alfie Cooper 58 (94424)
502. = Karan Garg 59 (0)
503. = Benjamin Lawrence 59 (8)
504. = Owen kean 59 (160)
505. = Kim Spreadbury 60 (257)
506. = William Pierson 65 (182)
507. = abe armstrong 65 (282)
508. = Jason Nordsell 71 (38)
509. = Kevin Cahill 78 (1082)
510. = William Sutcliffe 80 (88)
511. = Leon Hooker 82 (1114)
512. = Tom Elliott 84 (118)
513. = Erica Burke 89 (62)
514. = Emily Haroldson 89 (120)
515. = Fred Milano 89 (714)
516. = Paul Herbert 90 (277)
517. = Wang Chenxia (Celia) 95 (217)
518. = Callum Sheridan 132 (214)
519. = Jack Cazier 175 (33782)
(The score is calculated as the sum of the absolute differences between the predictions and reality, multiplied by ten; lowest score wins.  The number in brackets represents the tie-breaker score where appropriate).