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Weekly Digest:

Clash of the Titans VI

Supported by PwC

     

#ERCTitans

       

On 30th November 2016, the Economic Research Council hosted the sixth annual "Clash of the Titans" event.  We invited three notable economic alumni from the top three university economics departments in the country (Graham Gudgin from Cambridge, Vicky Pryce from LSE, and Paul Ormerod from Oxford) to give their predictions for the year ahead.

We asked them to focus on a number of categories:

  • UK GDP growth (Quarterly, % change)
  • UK Inflation Rate (CPI All Items, % change on previous year, averaged over 3 month period)
  • UK Unemployment Rate (Quarterly, all 16 and over, SA)
  • UK Interest Rate (Quarterly average of the official Bank Rate)
  • UK Average Earnings Growth (Quarterly % growth on same 3 month period in previous year, excluding bonuses and arrears)
  • Tie-breaker: The most expensive that a troy ounce of Gold will be (in dollars) between 5th January and 31st October 2017.

We are no longer accepting entries to this year's public competition.  Final results will be announced in December 2017, but we will be updating the scoreboard on this page as the year progresses.  You can see a list of previous winners of the competition here.

Current Standings

(as of 06/04/17)

Please note: Rankings do not include figures so far for Q1 2017

1. Douglas March 1 (42)
2. Dan James 2 (29)
3. Chris Todd-Davies 2 (107)
4. Oscar Binny 2 (130)
5. Matthew Woolmore 2 (222)
6. James Hewett 2 (225)
7. Pete Comley 2 (237)
8. Michael Baxter 2 (242)
9. Sean Holly 3 (8)
10. Master Yoda 3 (10)
11. Nigel Hauck 3 (14)
12. Bogdan Polovinko 3 (18)
13. Roman Cosentino 3 (24)
14. Polovinko Bogdan 3 (27)
15. Nina Kramer 3 (59)
16. Shabbir Merali 3 (69)
17. Aoife Lowe-Davies 3 (392)
18. Steve Douglas 3 (487)
19. Graham van Terheyden 3 (542)
20. Serene 3 (592)
21. Louis Parrent 3 (804)
22. Andrew Sentance 4 (17)
23. Tom White 4 (42)
24. Nicholas Thorn 4 (49)
25. Ben Eyre-White 4 (50)
26. Rob Daniel 4 (58)
27. Gary Slater 4 (72)
28. Ross Bogert 4 (83)
29. Tim Goldfinch 4 (117)
30. Tim Goldfinch 4 (142)
31. Nicola Sawford 4 (237)
32. Renedi 4 (305)
33. Christina Napier 4 (347)
34. Steven Websdale 4 (352)
35. Daniele Viappiani 4 (367)
36. Ruben Bo Dower 4 (417)
37. Samina Pandor 4 (422)
38. Donna Trump 4 (467)
39. Peter Szabo 4 (542)
40. Zac Gross 4 (592)
41. Hamzat Ken Isah 4 (772)
42. Lorna Epperson 4 (804)
43= Laurie Patten 5 (8)
43= Nathan Woolley 5 (8)
45. Bertie Hazell 5 (32)
46. James Sarson 5 (42)
47= Krasimir Dinev 5 (48)
47= Lingling (Kelly) Chang 5 (48)
49. William McKenzie 5 (50)
50. George Squibbs 5 (67)
51= Angus Suttle 5 (92)
51= Jacob Rumley 5 (92)
53. James MoncurBrown 5 (94)
54. Max Verhoeven 5 (99)
55. Michael Fay 5 (101)
56. Emil Marlowe 5 (115)
57. Gary 5 (127)
58. Peter Phillips 5 (129)
59. Natalie Wood 5 (138)
60. Andrew Goodwin 5 (142)
61. John Hearn 5 (147)
62= Jonathan Croud 5 (157)
62= Joseph Kane 5 (157)
64. Justin Farrington Smith 5 (167)
65. Michelle Pesce 5 (189)
66= Andrew Corner 5 (192)
66= Ian Andrews 5 (192)
66= Simon de Baat 5 (192)
69. David Morgan 5 (194)
70. Thomas Randell 5 (195)
71. David Cropper 5 (224)
72. Tabitha Owen 5 (232)
73. Warren Quinn 5 (241)
74= Jim Bastin 5 (242)
74= Tom Flynn 5 (242)
76. Mike Wallach 5 (269)
77= Andrew Somerville 5 (292)
77= Louis Foster 5 (292)
79. Sam McDonald 5 (302)
80. Alan Coleman 5 (310)
81. Oscar Matthews-Wright 5 (332)
82. Theo Banner 5 (334)
83. Karen Lucas 5 (337)
84= Andrew Purves 5 (342)
84= Shrina Parekh 5 (342)
86. Freddie 5 (350)
87= Alexnader Galouzis 5 (352)
87= Omar Maimouni 5 (352)
89. Archita Tayal 5 (367)
90. Christina Musson 5 (369)
91. Angela Pearce 5 (385)
92. Rebecca Harding 5 (392)
93. Alex De Gelas 5 (427)
94. Destiny Duke 5 (448)
95. Virinchi Velchuru 5 (487)
96. Karnan Sembian 5 (505)
97. Peter Vaughan 5 (510)
98. Lucy Derrickson 5 (524)
99. Hamzat Ken Isah 5 (772)
100= Dilip Shah 6 (2)
100= Isabel Roszkowski 6 (2)
102. William Tremelling 6 (22)
103. Jack Fosten 6 (41)
104. Hector Calvo 6 (42)
105= James England 6 (52)
105= James Watson 6 (52)
105= Marcus Chambers 6 (52)
108. Gerard Tyler 6 (55)
109= Dom Cullum 6 (84)
109= Helen Maas 6 (84)
111. Roy Simpson 6 (92)
112. David Garforth-Bles 6 (127)
113. Greg Opie 6 (129)
114. Nick Rakowski 6 (140)
115= Ali Hijazi 6 (142)
115= James Gildea 6 (142)
117. Dom Huber 6 (149)
118. Ezekiel Quartey 6 (166)
119. Frank 6 (167)
120. David Rios 6 (172)
121. Helen Mossman 6 (174)
122. Al Marshall 6 (192)
123. Lindsay Jenkins 6 (199)
124. Alistow Blake 6 (232)
125. Aimee Allam 6 (239)
126. Anton Gospodinov 6 (242)
127. Charlie Colborn 6 (243)
128. Amal Cian Agastin 6 (255)
129. George Hall 6 (261)
130. Oxford (Paul Omerod) 6 (267)
131= Seb Hancock 6 (269)
131= Thomas Conley 6 (269)
133. eleanor verrier 6 (271)
134. Stephen Keating 6 (292)
135. Alex Ralphs 6 (350)
136= Coln Duxberry 6 (367)
136= Owen Sy 6 (367)
138. Michael Mainelli 6 (372)
139= Sean Wong 6 (392)
139= Toby Okoli 6 (392)
141. Mette Lehrmann 6 (399)
142. Luke Corning 6 (404)
143. John Koshy 6 (417)
144. Anita Hummel 6 (440)
145. Christopher Tenezaca 6 (442)
146. Robin Henry 6 (492)
147. Maria Jansing 6 (524)
148. Kristopher Cawood 6 (544)
149. Cameron Davidson 6 (545)
150. Zach Gillam 6 (563)
151. Dan Tomlinson 6 (630)
152. Karthik Puravankara 6 (642)
153. Fin Collings 6 (692)
154. Ken Rice 6 (724)
155. Andrew Stebles 6 (1492)
156. Conrad Jordan 6 (1524)
157. Julian Barker 7 (17)
158. John Ryan 7 (18)
159. Alex Bottomley 7 (23)
160. Sophie Alders 7 (24)
161. Peter Prior-Mills 7 (27)
162. Aaron Mathews 7 (38)
163. Choi´╝îChing Yan (Michelle) 7 (48)
164= Gabriel Howse 7 (74)
164= Polly Maguire 7 (74)
166. Ross Dexter 7 (92)
167. John Quinn 7 (112)
168. Matthew Elson 7 (122)
169= David Tan 7 (142)
169= Matthew Davies 7 (142)
169= Zaeem Bhanji 7 (142)
172. Steven Engberg 7 (144)
173. Eric Cullen 7 (174)
174= Karim Q 7 (192)
174= Michael 7 (192)
174= Stephen Clarke 7 (192)
177. Naren Dutta 7 (197)
178. Adam Chong 7 (203)
179. John Davison 7 (217)
180= michael kenney 7 (224)
180= Pauline Travers 7 (224)
182= Antonia Dineen 7 (237)
182= Lochan Korpal 7 (237)
184= David Robertson 7 (242)
184= Ross Hay 7 (242)
186. Emile Galatti 7 (249)
187. Andrew Lorne 7 (250)
188. John Hodgson 7 (272)
189. Ben Ward 7 (290)
190= Anna-Rose King 7 (292)
190= Simon Danielli 7 (292)
192. Emiliano Russo 7 (317)
193. Eden Hamilton 7 (342)
194. Cassie McNab 7 (374)
195. Colette Roux 7 (378)
196. Amy Popiolek 7 (386)
197= Jack S Devlin 7 (392)
197= Michelle Munyi 7 (392)
199. Zhoufei Shi 7 (422)
200= Miles Woods 7 (424)
200= Saul Drury 7 (424)
202. Eman 7 (477)
203. Andrew Cranmer 7 (492)
204. Holly Parish 7 (537)
205. Faye Jones 7 (621)
206. Manuel J Porras 7 (642)
207. Cassandra Oakes 7 (660)
208. Lukas Lastas 8 (11)
209. Adam Harmon 8 (18)
210. David Dike 8 (30)
211. Sebastian Turner 8 (42)
212. Lina Lukoseviciute 8 (48)
213. Jonathan Furness 8 (50)
214= Andy 8 (52)
214= Jamie Murray-Jones 8 (52)
216. Jack Dunkelberg 8 (58)
217= David Field 8 (92)
217= Neal Judd 8 (92)
219. Cory Whitman 8 (124)
220= Edgar Chemla 8 (142)
220= Kevin Osei 8 (142)
222. James Gordon 8 (157)
223. James Young 8 (172)
224. Robert Mann 8 (186)
225. Dan King 8 (189)
226. Carl Fisher 8 (190)
227= Hannah 8 (192)
227= Liam mackle 8 (192)
227= Richard Winton 8 (192)
230. Alan Davies 8 (203)
231. Alex Thwaite 8 (216)
232= Abhai Rajguru 8 (217)
232= Tim Breslin 8 (217)
234= Bianca Todorut 8 (237)
234= Chris Gardner 8 (237)
236= David Potter 8 (242)
236= Howard Mighell 8 (242)
236= Jon Exley 8 (242)
236= Sarah Kemsley 8 (242)
240= Adrian Reuter 8 (260)
240= Andrea Sinnott 8 (260)
242. Kevin van der Beek 8 (264)
243. Sanjeev Menon 8 (267)
244= Mark Hutt 8 (292)
244= Nick Cattermole 8 (292)
244= Saatvik Bansal 8 (292)
247. Bruce Hagwood 8 (310)
248= Daniel Knight 8 (342)
248= Henry Forder 8 (342)
248= Jamele McIntosh 8 (342)
248= Martin Ward 8 (342)
252. Rory Reed 8 (382)
253= Mark 8 (392)
253= Nick Cartwright 8 (392)
255. Christina Wilkes 8 (399)
256. Anna McKenna 8 (410)
257. Sam Akpan 8 (412)
258. Claudia Gross 8 (424)
259= Oliver Bond 8 (442)
259= Robell Astaw 8 (442)
259= Sarath Murugan 8 (442)
262. Mandeeq 8 (467)
263. Edesiri Akati-udi 8 (602)
264. Hannelore Elsden 8 (642)
265. Jonathan Gusson 8 (805)
266= Francis Fennelly 9 (42)
266= W Barker 9 (42)
268. Roy Lonergan 9 (43)
269. Gerry Mark 9 (49)
270. Colin 9 (57)
271= Aidan Paul 9 (92)
271= Sandy Taylor 9 (92)
273. Timothy Yandle 9 (107)
274. Edward Cubitt 9 (111)
275. Mark Hughes 9 (117)
276= Grant Fitzner 9 (122)
276= Mike Agate 9 (122)
278. Stacia Borislavov 9 (124)
279. Thomas Spencer 9 (132)
280. Hugh Hawkins 9 (142)
281. Thomas Harper 9 (154)
282. Dan Britton 9 (171)
283= Piers Harmer 9 (192)
283= Ravi Karia 9 (192)
285= Eli Janowski 9 (224)
285= Lucy Kyger 9 (224)
287. James Harper 9 (229)
288. Tony Campbell 9 (242)
289. Tom Chatfield 9 (268)
290. Andy Smith 9 (288)
291. Adam potter 9 (302)
292. Samuel Gold 9 (342)
293. Laura Meissner 9 (349)
294. Liam Jolliff 9 (352)
295. Caroline Reuben 9 (370)
296. Teresa McCracken 9 (374)
297. Richard Oirschot 9 (392)
298. Zayn Riaz 9 (415)
299. Terence Cooper 9 (418)
300. Tom Severino 9 (424)
301. Natashya Lalani 9 (501)
302. Dominic Teeling 9 (537)
303. Eddie Hoghton 9 (541)
304. Maxamillian John 9 (567)
305. James Villano 9 (573)
306. Sally Cantero 9 (599)
307. Marco Yu 9 (722)
308. George Flynn 9 (792)
309. Jack Ellis 10 (8)
310. Sam Miller 10 (42)
311. Emma Rose 10 (43)
312. Catrin Murphy 10 (46)
313. Andy Silvester 10 (52)
314. Tim Coleman 10 (67)
315. Aaron Finlayson 10 (92)
316. Lora Botelho 10 (99)
317. Rob Gill 10 (102)
318. Will Bristol 10 (124)
319. Aidan McCallm 10 (125)
320. Giacomo Donati Clarke 10 (128)
321= Andrew Jagger 10 (142)
321= Johnny Reynolds 10 (142)
321= Pamela Barker 10 (142)
324. Oscar Moyes 10 (144)
325. Thomas Markovitch 10 (163)
326= Joseph Runchman 10 (167)
326= Sam Gurbutt 10 (167)
328= Albert Ferrant 10 (192)
328= Gavin Jones 10 (192)
330. James Elkington 10 (195)
331. Georgia Crawford Dellar 10 (198)
332. Anthony Glaser 10 (210)
333. Adam Cooper 10 (217)
334. Peter Cummings 10 (218)
335. Tom Dobson 10 (224)
336= Michael Tattersall 10 (242)
336= Miles Novotny 10 (242)
338. Lindsay McKinley 10 (249)
339. Jon Moulton 10 (258)
340. Brett Schneider 10 (260)
341. Daniel Hodson 10 (274)
342. Brett Adessi 10 (285)
343. Saul Dawes 10 (309)
344. Aagam Shah 10 (317)
345. Bruno Mauney 10 (335)
346. Allison Jepson 10 (360)
347. Bruce McRobie 10 (392)
348. Joyce Tao 10 (400)
349. Patrick Totty 10 (542)
350. Glen Mehn 10 (592)
351. Alexander Silver 11 (8)
352. Vera Dean 11 (71)
353= Callum Blacow 11 (92)
353= Cambridge (Graham Gudgin) 11 (92)
355. Jamie Robinson 11 (98)
356. Jon Beckett 11 (103)
357. Heino Vockrodt 11 (107)
358. Christine 11 (122)
359. Deirdre Flynn 11 (140)
360. Matt Stevensonn 11 (142)
361. Patrick Abbey 11 (192)
362. georgia pienaar 11 (195)
363. Robert Sharman 11 (214)
364= Ed Blois-Brooke 11 (224)
364= Sam Gagliardi 11 (224)
366. MIKE WHEELER 11 (242)
367. Wesley Hui 11 (261)
368. Leighton Hughes 11 (266)
369. Jonas Zygas 11 (292)
370. Karen Cross 11 (324)
371. Helen Antonis 11 (334)
372. Matt Newton 11 (342)
373. Michael Akerman 11 (374)
374. = Cedric Ware 11 (424)
375. Abbas Adejonwo 11 (442)
376. Ryan Abels 11 (474)
377. Meredith 11 (483)
378. Nathan 11 (492)
379. Ian Lewis 11 (533)
380. Jack Keucker 11 (642)
381. Marc Brennan 11 (1059)
382. d spencer 11 (1091)
383. Rebecca Driscoll 12 (119)
384. Wu Que (Titus) 12 (126)
385. Samuel Ennis 12 (162)
386. Kurtis Henry 12 (174)
387. simon purvis 12 (217)
388. Sarah Martin 12 (233)
389= Graham Ablett 12 (242)
389= Tilly Parke 12 (242)
391. Neil Arbore 12 (274)
392. Ruben 12 (292)
393. Richard Hawkins 12 (337)
394= Jimmy Nipps 12 (392)
394= Oskar Vaidya 12 (392)
396. Oliver Moore 12 (424)
397= Jeremy Vincent 12 (442)
397= Teja von Holzschueher 12 (442)
399. Andrew Simon Conway 12 (467)
400. LSE (Vicky Pryce) 12 (692)
401. Hamzat Ken Isah 12 (773)
402. Luis Valenzuela 12 (842)
403. Ben Turpin 13 (23)
404. Geo Sato Rain 13 (24)
405. Glen Morris 13 (26)
406= Fraser Smith 13 (58)
406= William Barker 13 (58)
408. Dunmola 13 (92)
409. simon opie 13 (138)
410= Damon de Laszlo 13 (142)
410= Georgia graham 13 (142)
412. Edmund Dannenberg 13 (162)
413. Pooria Beigi 13 (192)
414. R Louis 13 (224)
415. Daniel Greenwood 13 (242)
416. Miranda Ackerman 13 (274)
417. Eman Dickens 13 (276)
418. Stuart Cockburn 13 (292)
419. Yi Lian Lee 13 (342)
420. Ned Angier 13 (598)
421. Paul Harrison 13 (727)
422. Tim 13 (743)
423. Sonya Swiderski 13 (759)
424. Benjamin Watson 14 (86)
425. Sam Horgan 14 (121)
426. Tom Hobohm 14 (127)
427. David LT 14 (142)
428. Richard Starkey 14 (192)
429. Cristen Wegener 14 (194)
430. Anna Tighe 14 (207)
431. Stephan Michalski 14 (225)
432. Naomi Cauvas 14 (280)
433. Annika 14 (329)
434. CATS CAMBRIDGE A2 ECONOMICS E1 14 (342)
435. Robbie Griffith 14 (361)
436. Ben Watson 15 (86)
437. nicholas finney 15 (87)
438. George Oakman 15 (130)
439. Gaurang Rami 15 (132)
440. John Mackintosh 15 (142)
441. Ken Liebold 15 (157)
442. Colin Taylor 15 (212)
443. Karan Sanghavi 15 (242)
444. Hugo Yap 15 (274)
445. Glyn Manton 15 (667)
446. borgia Su 16 (142)
447. Giacomo Cattoretti 16 (144)
448. Isabelle Barclay 16 (148)
449. Tom Noakes 16 (159)
450. Tom Marsland 16 (193)
451. Neil Scott 16 (878)
452. Michael Arnott 17 (125)
453. Charles MacMillan 17 (343)
454. Rob Clifford 18 (39)
455. Gavin 18 (71)
456. Jacob Sorenson 18 (176)
457. Rob de Laszlo 18 (342)
458. Jane Jones 18 (701)
459. William Moriarty 18 (1942)
460. Samuel Portas 19 (42)
461. Ronaldo Nazaré 19 (242)
462. Graeme Burton 19 (592)
463. James 19 (1242)
464. Nhung Doan 20 (58)
465. Emily Cutler 20 (192)
466. Frank Brierley 21 (492)
467. Patrick Voss 23 (126)
468. Sam Juthani 23 (158)
469. Tim Guinness 23 (167)
470. = Abdul Dumbaya 23 (328)
471. Arthur Jung 23 (346)
472. William de Laszlo 23 (384)
473. Yongze (Andy) Du 27 (43)
474. Maximilian Haddon 27 (57)
475. Joshua Bailey 28 (1255)
476. Thomas Brandford 29 (92)
477. Jeremy Tee 29 (592)
478. Karnan Sembian 30 (128)
479. Freddy Main 30 (542)
480. Joshua Parrisshind 31 (18)
481. Jeremy Beckwith 31 (104)
482. Robert Duffy 31 (342)
483. Joseph Wales 31 (832)
484. Jake Cushion 33 (1752)
485. Denise Rayner 34 (324)
486. Gregor Welton 35 (503)
487. Rory Cook 36 (44962)
488. Robin Steed 38 (142)
489. Gillean Brook 41 (487)
490. Peter Sainsbury 42 (17)
491. Will J Burton 43 (1042)
492. Tibor Heskett 45 (342)
493. jonas crosland 50 (608)
494. Toby Pinto 51 (10)
495. Leo Taylor 52 (43)
496. Bolu 52 (92)
497. Gerald ringe 54 (640)
498. Leo Solloway 55 (1255)
499. Minming (Angela) Lai 56 (1258)
500. Edward Alger 57 (1508)
501. Karan Garg 59 (40)
502. Benjamin Lawrence 59 (48)
503. = Owen kean 59 (120)
504. Kim Spreadbury 60 (217)
505. Alfie Cooper 60 (94384)
506. William Pierson 64 (142)
507. abe armstrong 67 (242)
508. William Sutcliffe 78 (48)
509. = Kevin Cahill 80 (1042)
510. Tom Elliott 83 (158)
511. Leon Hooker 85 (1074)
512. Erica Burke 92 (22)
513. Emily Haroldson 92 (80)
514. Paul Herbert 92 (237)
515. Fred Milano 92 (674)
516. Jason Nordsell 93 (78)
517. Wang Chenxia (Celia) 95 (257)
518. = Callum Sheridan 131 (174)
519. = Jack Cazier 175 (33742)
(The score is calculated as the sum of the absolute differences between the predictions and reality, multiplied by ten; lowest score wins.  The number in brackets represents the tie-breaker score where appropriate).