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Weekly Digest:

Clash of the Titans VI

Supported by PwC

     

#ERCTitans

       

On 30th November 2016, the Economic Research Council hosted the sixth annual "Clash of the Titans" event.  We invited three notable economic alumni from the top three university economics departments in the country (Graham Gudgin from Cambridge, Vicky Pryce from LSE, and Paul Ormerod from Oxford) to give their predictions for the year ahead.

We asked them to focus on a number of categories:

  • UK GDP growth (Quarterly, % change)
  • UK Inflation Rate (CPI All Items, % change on previous year, averaged over 3 month period)
  • UK Unemployment Rate (Quarterly, all 16 and over, SA)
  • UK Interest Rate (Quarterly average of the official Bank Rate)
  • UK Average Earnings Growth (Quarterly % growth on same 3 month period in previous year, excluding bonuses and arrears)
  • Tie-breaker: The most expensive that a troy ounce of Gold will be (in dollars) between 5th January and 31st October 2017.

We are no longer accepting entries to this year's public competition.  Final results will be announced in December 2017, but we will be updating the scoreboard on this page as the year progresses.  You can see a list of previous winners of the competition here.

Current Standings

(as of 04/05/17)

Please note: Rankings include figures that are complete for Q1 2017

1. Shabbir Merali 4 (35)
2. Aoife Lowe-Davies 5 (358)
3. Ruben Bo Dower 5 (383)
4. Virinchi Velchuru 5 (453)
5. Graham van Terheyden 5 (508)
6. Sean Holly 6 (42)
7. Michael Fay 6 (67)
8. Andrew Goodwin 6 (108)
9. Tabitha Owen 6 (198)
10. Pete Comley 6 (203)
11. Karnan Sembian 6 (471)
12. Serene 6 (558)
13. Tim Goldfinch 7 (83)
14. Matthew Elson 7 (88)
15. Nicola Sawford 7 (203)
16. Michael Baxter 7 (208)
17. Shrina Parekh 7 (308)
18. Freddie 7 (316)
19= Alexnader Galouzis 7 (318)
19= Omar Maimouni 7 (318)
19= Steven Websdale 7 (318)
22. Rebecca Harding 7 (358)
23. Destiny Duke 7 (414)
24. Steve Douglas 7 (453)
25= Dilip Shah 8 (32)
25= Isabel Roszkowski 8 (32)
27. Roy Simpson 8 (58)
28. Chris Todd-Davies 8 (73)
29. Andrew Corner 8 (158)
30. Alistow Blake 8 (198)
31. Aimee Allam 8 (205)
32. Tom Flynn 8 (208)
33. Karen Lucas 8 (303)
34. Alex Ralphs 8 (316)
35. W Barker 9 (8)
36. Gabriel Howse 9 (40)
37. Master Yoda 9 (44)
38. Aaron Mathews 9 (72)
39. Greg Opie 9 (95)
40. Dom Huber 9 (115)
41. Matthew Woolmore 9 (188)
42. michael kenney 9 (190)
43. Chris Gardner 9 (203)
44. Amal Cian Agastin 9 (221)
45. Thomas Conley 9 (235)
46. Louis Foster 9 (258)
47. Andrew Purves 9 (308)
48. Manuel J Porras 9 (608)
49. Cassandra Oakes 9 (626)
50. Tom White 10 (8)
51. Sophie Alders 10 (10)
52. Nigel Hauck 10 (20)
53. Laurie Patten 10 (42)
54. Bogdan Polovinko 10 (52)
55. Cory Whitman 10 (90)
56. James Gordon 10 (123)
57. Dan King 10 (155)
58. David Cropper 10 (190)
59. Andrew Lorne 10 (216)
60. Seb Hancock 10 (235)
61. Mark Hutt 10 (258)
62. Adam potter 10 (268)
63. Christina Napier 10 (313)
64. Archita Tayal 10 (333)
65. Christina Musson 10 (335)
66. Samina Pandor 10 (388)
67. Robell Astaw 10 (408)
68. Robin Henry 10 (458)
69. Peter Vaughan 10 (476)
70. Holly Parish 10 (503)
71. Cameron Davidson 10 (511)
72. Maxamillian John 10 (533)
73. Andrew Stebles 10 (1458)
74. Conrad Jordan 10 (1490)
75. Douglas March 11 (8)
76. Krasimir Dinev 11 (14)
77. Nicholas Thorn 11 (15)
78. Andrew Sentance 11 (17)
79. Sandy Taylor 11 (58)
80. Mike Agate 11 (88)
81. Tim Goldfinch 11 (108)
82= Anton Gospodinov 11 (208)
82= David Robertson 11 (208)
82= Ross Hay 11 (208)
85. Charlie Colborn 11 (209)
86. Renedi 11 (271)
87. Matt Newton 11 (308)
88. Daniele Viappiani 11 (333)
89= Jack S Devlin 11 (358)
89= Toby Okoli 11 (358)
91. Saul Drury 11 (390)
92. Natashya Lalani 11 (467)
93. Lucy Derrickson 11 (490)
94. Glen Mehn 11 (558)
95. Dan Tomlinson 11 (596)
96. George Flynn 11 (758)
97. Hector Calvo 12 (8)
98. Roman Cosentino 12 (10)
99. Jonathan Furness 12 (16)
100. Andy 12 (18)
101. Rob Gill 12 (68)
102. David Garforth-Bles 12 (93)
103. Joseph Kane 12 (123)
104. Justin Farrington Smith 12 (133)
105. Michelle Pesce 12 (155)
106. Gavin Jones 12 (158)
107. Thomas Randell 12 (161)
108. Oscar Binny 12 (164)
109. Alan Davies 12 (169)
110. Kevin van der Beek 12 (230)
111. Andy Smith 12 (254)
112. Owen Sy 12 (333)
113. Rory Reed 12 (348)
114. Angela Pearce 12 (351)
115= Mark 12 (358)
115= Sean Wong 12 (358)
117. Maria Jansing 12 (490)
118. Zac Gross 12 (558)
119. Sally Cantero 12 (565)
120. Marco Yu 12 (688)
121. Louis Parrent 12 (770)
122. Peter Prior-Mills 13 (7)
123. Julian Barker 13 (17)
124. George Squibbs 13 (33)
125. Helen Maas 13 (50)
126. Max Verhoeven 13 (65)
127. Jack Fosten 13 (75)
128. Edward Cubitt 13 (77)
129. William McKenzie 13 (84)
130. Grant Fitzner 13 (88)
131. Rob Daniel 13 (92)
132. Peter Phillips 13 (95)
133. Pamela Barker 13 (108)
134. Thomas Markovitch 13 (129)
135. Frank 13 (133)
136. Helen Mossman 13 (140)
137. Ian Andrews 13 (158)
138. James Elkington 13 (161)
139. Tony Campbell 13 (208)
140= Saatvik Bansal 13 (258)
140= Simon Danielli 13 (258)
142. Sam McDonald 13 (268)
143. Theo Banner 13 (300)
144. Coln Duxberry 13 (333)
145. Michael Akerman 13 (340)
146. Amy Popiolek 13 (352)
147. Jimmy Nipps 13 (358)
148. Mette Lehrmann 13 (365)
149= Miles Woods 13 (390)
149= Oliver Moore 13 (390)
151. Alex De Gelas 13 (393)
152. Christopher Tenezaca 13 (408)
153. Donna Trump 13 (433)
154. Andrew Cranmer 13 (458)
155. Ian Lewis 13 (499)
156. Dominic Teeling 13 (503)
157. Kristopher Cawood 13 (510)
158. Zach Gillam 13 (529)
159. Dan James 14 (5)
160. Polovinko Bogdan 14 (7)
161. Adam Harmon 14 (16)
162. Nina Kramer 14 (25)
163. Gary Slater 14 (38)
164. Nathan Woolley 14 (42)
165. William Tremelling 14 (56)
166. = Ross Dexter 14 (58)
167. = John Quinn 14 (78)
168= Choi,Ching Yan (Michelle) 14 (82)
168= Lingling (Kelly) Chang 14 (82)
170. Gary 14 (93)
171= Ali Hijazi 14 (108)
171= Edgar Chemla 14 (108)
173. Steven Engberg 14 (110)
174. Ross Bogert 14 (117)
175. Jonathan Croud 14 (123)
176= Hannah 14 (158)
176= Simon de Baat 14 (158)
178. = Adam Chong 14 (169)
179. = John Davison 14 (183)
180. James Hewett 14 (191)
181. Bianca Todorut 14 (203)
182. MIKE WHEELER 14 (208)
183. Emile Galatti 14 (215)
184. Jonas Zygas 14 (258)
185. Helen Antonis 14 (300)
186. Richard Hawkins 14 (303)
187. Richard Oirschot 14 (358)
188. Zayn Riaz 14 (381)
189. Anita Hummel 14 (406)
190. Abbas Adejonwo 14 (408)
191. Meredith 14 (449)
192. Ned Angier 14 (564)
193. Hamzat Ken Isah 14 (738)
194. Gerry Mark 15 (15)
195. Marcus Chambers 15 (18)
196. Tim Coleman 15 (33)
197. Neal Judd 15 (58)
198. James MoncurBrown 15 (60)
199. Lora Botelho 15 (65)
200. James Gildea 15 (108)
201. Ravi Karia 15 (158)
202. David Morgan 15 (160)
203. Naren Dutta 15 (163)
204. Pauline Travers 15 (190)
205. Warren Quinn 15 (207)
206. Daniel Greenwood 15 (208)
207. George Hall 15 (227)
208. Miranda Ackerman 15 (240)
209. Eden Hamilton 15 (308)
210. Colette Roux 15 (344)
211. Michelle Munyi 15 (358)
212. Nathan 15 (458)
213. Hannelore Elsden 15 (608)
214. Paul Harrison 15 (693)
215. Tim 15 (709)
216. Sebastian Turner 16 (8)
217. Emma Rose 16 (9)
218. Catrin Murphy 16 (12)
219. Ben Eyre-White 16 (16)
220. Lukas Lastas 16 (23)
221. David Field 16 (58)
222. Stacia Borislavov 16 (90)
223= Al Marshall 16 (158)
223= Karim Q 16 (158)
223= Liam mackle 16 (158)
223= Richard Winton 16 (158)
227. Tilly Parke 16 (208)
228. Stephen Keating 16 (258)
229. Cassie McNab 16 (340)
230. Christina Wilkes 16 (365)
231. Joyce Tao 16 (366)
232. Sam Akpan 16 (378)
233. Zhoufei Shi 16 (388)
234. Fin Collings 16 (658)
235. Ken Rice 16 (690)
236. David Dike 17 (4)
237. James England 17 (18)
238. Polly Maguire 17 (40)
239. Alexander Silver 17 (42)
240. Alex Bottomley 17 (57)
241. Jack Dunkelberg 17 (92)
242. Tom Hobohm 17 (93)
243. David Tan 17 (108)
244. Ezekiel Quartey 17 (132)
245. Piers Harmer 17 (158)
246. Aidan McCallm 17 (159)
247. Robert Sharman 17 (180)
248. Sam Gagliardi 17 (190)
249. Lochan Korpal 17 (203)
250= David Potter 17 (208)
250= Howard Mighell 17 (208)
250= Jon Exley 17 (208)
253. Adrian Reuter 17 (226)
254= Oxford (Paul Omerod) 17 (233)
254= Sanjeev Menon 17 (233)
256. Mike Wallach 17 (235)
257. eleanor verrier 17 (237)
258. Ruben 17 (258)
259. Alan Coleman 17 (276)
260. Annika 17 (295)
261. Oscar Matthews-Wright 17 (298)
262= Daniel Knight 17 (308)
262= Jamele McIntosh 17 (308)
264. Robbie Griffith 17 (327)
265. Teresa McCracken 17 (340)
266. Terence Cooper 17 (384)
267= Claudia Gross 17 (390)
267= Tom Severino 17 (390)
269. Peter Szabo 17 (508)
270. Sonya Swiderski 17 (725)
271. James Watson 18 (18)
272. Gerard Tyler 18 (21)
273. Dom Cullum 18 (50)
274. Lina Lukoseviciute 18 (82)
275. William Barker 18 (92)
276. Andrew Jagger 18 (108)
277. Samuel Ennis 18 (128)
278= Eli Janowski 18 (190)
278= Tom Dobson 18 (190)
280. Sarah Martin 18 (199)
281. Andrea Sinnott 18 (226)
282. John Hodgson 18 (238)
283. Ben Ward 18 (256)
284= Andrew Somerville 18 (258)
284= Nick Cattermole 18 (258)
286. Bruce Hagwood 18 (276)
287. Emiliano Russo 18 (283)
288= CATS CAMBRIDGE A2 ECONOMICS E1 18 (308)
288= Samuel Gold 18 (308)
290. John Koshy 18 (383)
291. Cedric Ware 18 (390)
292. Mandeeq 18 (433)
293. Eman 18 (443)
294. LSE (Vicky Pryce) 18 (658)
295. Hamzat Ken Isah 18 (738)
296. Lorna Epperson 18 (770)
297. Francis Fennelly 19 (8)
298. Jamie Murray-Jones 19 (18)
299. Jack Ellis 19 (42)
300. John Ryan 19 (52)
301. Albert Ferrant 19 (158)
302. Lindsay Jenkins 19 (165)
303. Alex Thwaite 19 (182)
304. Antonia Dineen 19 (203)
305. Daniel Hodson 19 (240)
306. Brett Adessi 19 (251)
307. Anna-Rose King 19 (258)
308. Saul Dawes 19 (275)
309= Henry Forder 19 (308)
309= Yi Lian Lee 19 (308)
311. Michael Mainelli 19 (338)
312= Bruce McRobie 19 (358)
312= Nick Cartwright 19 (358)
314. Luke Corning 19 (370)
315. Anna McKenna 19 (376)
316. Jeremy Vincent 19 (408)
317. Jonathan Gusson 19 (771)
318. Bertie Hazell 20 (2)
319. Sam Miller 20 (8)
320. Benjamin Watson 20 (52)
321= Angus Suttle 20 (58)
321= Callum Blacow 20 (58)
321= Cambridge (Graham Gudgin) 20 (58)
324. Glen Morris 20 (60)
325. Natalie Wood 20 (104)
326. Vera Dean 20 (105)
327. Nick Rakowski 20 (106)
328. Matt Stevensonn 20 (108)
329. Sam Gurbutt 20 (133)
330= Dan Britton 20 (137)
330= Jon Beckett 20 (137)
332= David Rios 20 (138)
332= James Young 20 (138)
334. Kurtis Henry 20 (140)
335. Emil Marlowe 20 (149)
336. Carl Fisher 20 (156)
337. Stephen Clarke 20 (158)
338. Cristen Wegener 20 (160)
339. Anthony Glaser 20 (176)
340. John Hearn 20 (181)
341. Ed Blois-Brooke 20 (190)
342. James Harper 20 (195)
343. Michael Tattersall 20 (208)
344. Leighton Hughes 20 (232)
345. Eman Dickens 20 (242)
346. Laura Meissner 20 (315)
347. Oskar Vaidya 20 (358)
348. Karthik Puravankara 20 (608)
349. Glyn Manton 20 (633)
350. Ben Watson 21 (52)
351. Aaron Finlayson 21 (58)
352. Will Bristol 21 (90)
353. Zaeem Bhanji 21 (108)
354. Tom Noakes 21 (125)
355. Pooria Beigi 21 (158)
356. georgia pienaar 21 (161)
357. Georgia Crawford Dellar 21 (164)
358= Ronaldo Nazaré 21 (208)
358= Sarah Kemsley 21 (208)
360. Karen Cross 21 (290)
361. Sarath Murugan 21 (408)
362. Andrew Simon Conway 21 (433)
363= Geo Sato Rain 22 (58)
363= Jacob Rumley 22 (58)
365. Emily Cutler 22 (158)
366. Abhai Rajguru 22 (183)
367. Lucy Kyger 22 (190)
368. Wesley Hui 22 (227)
369. Martin Ward 22 (308)
370. Liam Jolliff 22 (318)
371. Caroline Reuben 22 (336)
372. Oliver Bond 22 (408)
373. Eddie Hoghton 22 (507)
374. James Villano 22 (539)
375. Edesiri Akati-udi 22 (568)
376. Luis Valenzuela 22 (808)
377. Marc Brennan 22 (1093)
378. d spencer 22 (1125)
379. Roy Lonergan 23 (9)
380. Mark Hughes 23 (83)
381. Colin 23 (91)
382. Thomas Spencer 23 (98)
383. Matthew Davies 23 (108)
384. Joseph Runchman 23 (133)
385. Eric Cullen 23 (140)
386. Michael 23 (158)
387. Tim Breslin 23 (183)
388= Jim Bastin 23 (208)
388= Miles Novotny 23 (208)
390. Brett Schneider 23 (226)
391. Stuart Cockburn 23 (258)
392. Jon Moulton 23 (292)
393. Jane Jones 23 (667)
394. Hamzat Ken Isah 23 (739)
395. Neil Scott 23 (844)
396. Andy Silvester 24 (18)
397. Aidan Paul 24 (58)
398. Fraser Smith 24 (92)
399. Giacomo Donati Clarke 24 (94)
400. Deirdre Flynn 24 (106)
401= David LT 24 (108)
401= Hugh Hawkins 24 (108)
401= Johnny Reynolds 24 (108)
404. Thomas Harper 24 (120)
405. Robert Mann 24 (152)
406= Patrick Abbey 24 (158)
406= Richard Starkey 24 (158)
408. Adam Cooper 24 (183)
409. Naomi Cauvas 24 (246)
410. Allison Jepson 24 (326)
411. Graeme Burton 24 (558)
412. Faye Jones 24 (587)
413. Jack Keucker 24 (608)
414. James Sarson 25 (8)
415= Heino Vockrodt 25 (73)
415= Timothy Yandle 25 (73)
417. Isabelle Barclay 25 (114)
418. Tom Chatfield 25 (234)
419. Teja von Holzschueher 25 (408)
420. Patrick Totty 25 (508)
421. Rob Clifford 26 (73)
422. Christine 26 (88)
423. Gavin 26 (105)
424. Kevin Osei 26 (108)
425. Peter Cummings 26 (184)
426. R Louis 26 (190)
427. Lindsay McKinley 26 (215)
428. Ryan Abels 26 (440)
429. simon opie 27 (104)
430. John Mackintosh 27 (108)
431. Edmund Dannenberg 27 (128)
432. Jamie Robinson 27 (132)
433. Patrick Voss 27 (160)
434. simon purvis 27 (183)
435. Sam Juthani 27 (192)
436= Graham Ablett 27 (208)
436= Karan Sanghavi 27 (208)
438= Hugo Yap 27 (240)
438= Neil Arbore 27 (240)
440. Aagam Shah 27 (283)
441. Bruno Mauney 27 (301)
442. Charles MacMillan 27 (309)
443. James 27 (1208)
444. Ben Turpin 28 (57)
445. Georgia graham 28 (108)
446. George Oakman 29 (96)
447. Oscar Moyes 29 (110)
448. Sam Horgan 30 (87)
449. Damon de Laszlo 30 (108)
450. Giacomo Cattoretti 30 (110)
451. Nhung Doan 31 (24)
452. Rebecca Driscoll 31 (85)
453. Thomas Brandford 32 (58)
454. Wu Que (Titus) 32 (92)
455. Anna Tighe 32 (173)
456. Stephan Michalski 32 (191)
457. borgia Su 33 (108)
458. Rob de Laszlo 33 (308)
459. William de Laszlo 33 (350)
460. Jeremy Tee 33 (558)
461. nicholas finney 34 (53)
462. Jacob Sorenson 34 (142)
463. Tom Marsland 34 (159)
464. Dunmola 35 (58)
465. Robert Duffy 35 (308)
466. Colin Taylor 36 (178)
467. Denise Rayner 36 (290)
468. Abdul Dumbaya 36 (294)
469. Arthur Jung 36 (312)
470. Joseph Wales 36 (798)
471. Samuel Portas 37 (8)
472. Ken Liebold 37 (123)
473. Frank Brierley 38 (458)
474. Freddy Main 38 (508)
475. Michael Arnott 39 (91)
476. Gaurang Rami 39 (98)
477. William Moriarty 40 (1908)
478. Jeremy Beckwith 42 (70)
479. Joshua Bailey 42 (1289)
480. Maximilian Haddon 43 (23)
481. Karnan Sembian 43 (94)
482. Tim Guinness 44 (133)
483. Rory Cook 44 (44928)
484. Joshua Parrisshind 45 (52)
485. Tibor Heskett 49 (308)
486. Yongze (Andy) Du 52 (77)
487. Will J Burton 53 (1008)
488. jonas crosland 54 (642)
489. Gregor Welton 55 (469)
490. Jake Cushion 55 (1718)
491. Peter Sainsbury 57 (17)
492. Toby Pinto 58 (24)
493. Robin Steed 59 (108)
494. Bolu 61 (58)
495. Kim Spreadbury 63 (183)
496. Leo Taylor 64 (9)
497. Karan Garg 64 (74)
498. Benjamin Lawrence 65 (82)
499. Edward Alger 67 (1474)
500. Alfie Cooper 67 (94350)
501. Minming (Angela) Lai 69 (1292)
502. Owen kean 72 (86)
503. abe armstrong 78 (208)
504. Leo Solloway 79 (1289)
505. William Pierson 80 (108)
506. Gillean Brook 82 (453)
507. Kevin Cahill 83 (1008)
508. Leon Hooker 88 (1040)
509. Gerald ringe 92 (606)
510. Paul Herbert 99 (203)
511. William Sutcliffe 100 (14)
512. Tom Elliott 103 (192)
513. Erica Burke 114 (12)
514. Emily Haroldson 114 (46)
515. Jason Nordsell 114 (112)
516. Fred Milano 114 (640)
517. = Wang Chenxia (Celia) 128 (291)
518. = Callum Sheridan 148 (140)
519. = Jack Cazier 187 (33708)
(The score is calculated as the sum of the absolute differences between the predictions and reality, multiplied by ten; lowest score wins.  The number in brackets represents the tie-breaker score where appropriate).