Clash of the Titans VI

Supported by PwC

     

#ERCTitans

       

On 30th November 2016, the Economic Research Council hosted the sixth annual "Clash of the Titans" event.  We invited three notable economic alumni from the top three university economics departments in the country (Graham Gudgin from Cambridge, Vicky Pryce from LSE, and Paul Ormerod from Oxford) to give their predictions for the year ahead.

We asked them to focus on a number of categories:

  • UK GDP growth (Quarterly, % change)
  • UK Inflation Rate (CPI All Items, % change on previous year, averaged over 3 month period)
  • UK Unemployment Rate (Quarterly, all 16 and over, SA)
  • UK Interest Rate (Quarterly average of the official Bank Rate)
  • UK Average Earnings Growth (Quarterly % growth on same 3 month period in previous year, excluding bonuses and arrears)
  • Tie-breaker: The most expensive that a troy ounce of Gold will be (in dollars) between 5th January and 31st October 2017.

We are no longer accepting entries to this year's public competition.  Final results will be announced in December 2017, but we will be updating the scoreboard on this page as the year progresses.  You can see a list of previous winners of the competition here.

Current Standings

(as of 10/11/17)

Please note: Rankings include figures that are complete for each quarter

1. W Barker 23 (46)
2. Dilip Shah 25 (86)
3. Aaron Mathews 25 (126)
4. Andrew Corner 26 (104)
5. Aimee Allam 26 (151)
6. Toby Okoli 27 (304)
7. David Robertson 28 (154)
8. Sean Wong 28 (304)
9. Dan Tomlinson 28 (542)
10. Gabriel Howse 29 (14)
11. Matthew Elson 29 (34)
12. Isabel Roszkowski 29 (86)
13. Ravi Karia 29 (104)
14. michael kenney 29 (136)
15. Miranda Ackerman 29 (186)
16. Karnan Sembian 29 (417)
17. Maxamillian John 29 (479)
18. Serene 29 (504)
19. Andrew Stebles 29 (1404)
20. Simon Danielli 30 (204)
21. Steve Douglas 30 (399)
22. Rob Gill 31 (14)
23. Laurie Patten 31 (96)
24= Daniel Greenwood 31 (154)
24= Michael Baxter 31 (154)
24= Ross Hay 31 (154)
27. Jonas Zygas 31 (204)
28. Abbas Adejonwo 31 (354)
29. Robin Henry 31 (404)
30. Cameron Davidson 31 (457)
31. George Flynn 31 (704)
32. Tim Goldfinch 32 (29)
33. Greg Opie 32 (41)
34. Andrew Goodwin 32 (54)
35. Tabitha Owen 32 (144)
36. Steven Websdale 32 (264)
37. Rebecca Harding 32 (304)
38. Destiny Duke 32 (360)
39. Virinchi Velchuru 32 (399)
40. Graham van Terheyden 32 (454)
41. Sean Holly 33 (96)
42. Tilly Parke 33 (154)
43. Louis Foster 33 (204)
44. Karen Lucas 33 (249)
45= Jack S Devlin 33 (304)
45= Richard Oirschot 33 (304)
47. Sandy Taylor 34 (4)
48. Joseph Kane 34 (69)
49. Julian Barker 34 (71)
50. Sarah Martin 34 (145)
51= Andrew Purves 34 (254)
51= Matt Newton 34 (254)
53. Zhoufei Shi 34 (334)
54. Paul Harrison 34 (639)
55. Tim 34 (655)
56. Ali Hijazi 35 (54)
57. Richard Winton 35 (104)
58. Chris Gardner 35 (149)
59= MIKE WHEELER 35 (154)
59= Tom Flynn 35 (154)
61. Sanjeev Menon 35 (179)
62. Adam potter 35 (214)
63. Richard Hawkins 35 (249)
64. Andrew Cranmer 35 (404)
65. Ian Lewis 35 (445)
66. Sally Cantero 35 (511)
67. Andy 36 (36)
68. Pamela Barker 36 (54)
69. James Gordon 36 (69)
70. Master Yoda 36 (98)
71. William Barker 36 (146)
72. Amal Cian Agastin 36 (167)
73. Aoife Lowe-Davies 36 (304)
74. Nathan 36 (404)
75. Marco Yu 36 (634)
76. Mike Agate 37 (34)
77. James Gildea 37 (54)
78. Nicola Sawford 37 (149)
79. Christina Napier 37 (259)
80. Freddie 37 (262)
81= Alexnader Galouzis 37 (264)
81= Omar Maimouni 37 (264)
83. Owen Sy 37 (279)
84. Natashya Lalani 37 (413)
85= Dominic Teeling 37 (449)
85= Holly Parish 37 (449)
87. Ned Angier 37 (510)
88. Roy Simpson 38 (4)
89. David Cropper 38 (136)
90. Alex Ralphs 38 (262)
91. Sam Akpan 38 (324)
92. Manuel J Porras 38 (554)
93. Sonya Swiderski 38 (671)
94. Neal Judd 39 (4)
95. Shabbir Merali 39 (19)
96. Tim Coleman 39 (21)
97. Alistow Blake 39 (144)
98. Brett Adessi 39 (197)
99. Christina Musson 39 (281)
100= Cedric Ware 39 (336)
100= Miles Woods 39 (336)
102= Lucy Derrickson 39 (436)
102= Maria Jansing 39 (436)
104. = Conrad Jordan 39 (1436)
105. Grant Fitzner 40 (34)
106. David Garforth-Bles 40 (39)
107. Peter Phillips 40 (41)
108. Gavin Jones 40 (104)
109. Bianca Todorut 40 (149)
110. Michael Akerman 40 (286)
111. Lora Botelho 41 (11)
112. Gerry Mark 41 (39)
113. Thomas Markovitch 41 (75)
114. Piers Harmer 41 (104)
115. Bogdan Polovinko 41 (106)
116. Adam Chong 41 (114)
117. Ruben 41 (204)
118. Helen Antonis 41 (246)
119. Zayn Riaz 41 (327)
120. Ruben Bo Dower 41 (329)
121. Edward Cubitt 42 (23)
122. Dom Huber 42 (61)
123. Andrew Sentance 42 (71)
124= Dan King 42 (101)
124= Michelle Pesce 42 (101)
126. John Davison 42 (129)
127. Andrew Lorne 42 (162)
128. Sam McDonald 42 (214)
129. Saul Drury 42 (336)
130. Glen Mehn 42 (504)
131. Cassandra Oakes 42 (572)
132. LSE (Vicky Pryce) 42 (604)
133. Hannah 43 (104)
134. Thomas Randell 43 (107)
135. Anthony Glaser 43 (122)
136. Sam Gagliardi 43 (136)
137. Pete Comley 43 (149)
138. Charlie Colborn 43 (155)
139. Andy Smith 43 (200)
140. Mark Hutt 43 (204)
141. Samina Pandor 43 (334)
142. Peter Vaughan 43 (422)
143. Kristopher Cawood 43 (456)
144. Cory Whitman 44 (36)
145= Anton Gospodinov 44 (154)
145= Jon Exley 44 (154)
147. Mark 44 (304)
148. Chris Todd-Davies 45 (19)
149. Andrew Jagger 45 (54)
150. Sophie Alders 45 (64)
151. Ian Andrews 45 (104)
152. Ross Bogert 45 (171)
153. Thomas Conley 45 (181)
154. Shrina Parekh 45 (254)
155. Coln Duxberry 45 (279)
156. Christina Wilkes 45 (311)
157= Graeme Burton 45 (504)
157= Zac Gross 45 (504)
159. Ross Dexter 46 (4)
160. Nicholas Thorn 46 (39)
161. Tim Goldfinch 46 (54)
162. Samuel Ennis 46 (74)
163. Nathan Woolley 46 (96)
164. Glen Morris 46 (114)
165. Emile Galatti 46 (161)
166. Leighton Hughes 46 (178)
167. Yi Lian Lee 46 (254)
168. Archita Tayal 46 (279)
169. Rory Reed 46 (294)
170. Jonathan Croud 47 (69)
171. Adam Harmon 47 (70)
172. James Elkington 47 (107)
173. Kevin van der Beek 47 (176)
174. Daniel Knight 47 (254)
175. Robell Astaw 47 (354)
176. Glyn Manton 47 (579)
177= Nick Cattermole 48 (204)
177= Stephen Keating 48 (204)
179. Bruce Hagwood 48 (222)
180. Annika 48 (241)
181. Theo Banner 48 (246)
182. CATS CAMBRIDGE A2 ECONOMICS E1 48 (254)
183. Robbie Griffith 48 (273)
184. Colette Roux 48 (290)
185. Amy Popiolek 48 (298)
186. Jimmy Nipps 48 (304)
187. Alex De Gelas 48 (339)
188. Jonathan Gusson 48 (717)
189. Michael Fay 49 (13)
190= Ben Eyre-White 49 (38)
190= Jonathan Furness 49 (38)
192= Francis Fennelly 49 (46)
192= Tom White 49 (46)
194. David Morgan 49 (106)
195. Naren Dutta 49 (109)
196. Alan Davies 49 (115)
197. Tony Campbell 49 (154)
198. Samuel Gold 49 (254)
199. Daniele Viappiani 49 (279)
200. Cassie McNab 49 (286)
201. George Squibbs 50 (21)
202. Stacia Borislavov 50 (36)
203. Hector Calvo 50 (46)
204. Matthew Woolmore 50 (134)
205. Ronaldo Nazaré 50 (154)
206. Oliver Moore 50 (336)
207. Hamzat Ken Isah 50 (685)
208. James MoncurBrown 51 (6)
209. Gary Slater 51 (16)
210. Nigel Hauck 51 (74)
211. Justin Farrington Smith 51 (79)
212. Robert Sharman 51 (126)
213. Saatvik Bansal 51 (204)
214. Renedi 51 (217)
215. Bruce McRobie 51 (304)
216. Anita Hummel 51 (352)
217. Jeremy Vincent 51 (354)
218. Donna Trump 51 (379)
219. Sebastian Turner 52 (46)
220. Roman Cosentino 52 (64)
221. Cristen Wegener 52 (106)
222. William McKenzie 52 (138)
223. Adrian Reuter 52 (172)
224. Edesiri Akati-udi 52 (514)
225. Peter Prior-Mills 53 (61)
226. Kurtis Henry 53 (86)
227= Emily Cutler 53 (104)
227= Pooria Beigi 53 (104)
229. Pauline Travers 53 (136)
230. Seb Hancock 53 (181)
231. Jamele McIntosh 53 (254)
232. Mette Lehrmann 53 (311)
233. Claudia Gross 53 (336)
234. d spencer 53 (1179)
235= Edgar Chemla 54 (54)
235= Georgia graham 54 (54)
237. David Dike 54 (58)
238. Lukas Lastas 54 (77)
239. Ezekiel Quartey 54 (78)
240. Helen Mossman 54 (86)
241= Albert Ferrant 54 (104)
241= Liam mackle 54 (104)
243. Oscar Binny 54 (218)
244. Angela Pearce 54 (297)
245. David Field 55 (4)
246. Marcus Chambers 55 (36)
247. Simon de Baat 55 (104)
248. Stuart Cockburn 55 (204)
249. Karen Cross 55 (236)
250. Henry Forder 55 (254)
251. Joyce Tao 55 (312)
252. Hannelore Elsden 55 (554)
253. Hamzat Ken Isah 55 (684)
254. Emma Rose 56 (45)
255. Frank 56 (79)
256. Alexander Silver 56 (96)
257. Lingling (Kelly) Chang 56 (137)
258. Sarah Kemsley 56 (154)
259. Helen Maas 57 (4)
260. Catrin Murphy 57 (42)
261. Polovinko Bogdan 57 (61)
262. Dan Britton 57 (83)
263. John Ryan 57 (106)
264= Abhai Rajguru 57 (129)
264= Jack Fosten 57 (129)
266. Jack Dunkelberg 57 (146)
267. Saul Dawes 57 (221)
268. Emiliano Russo 57 (229)
269. Marc Brennan 57 (1147)
270. Max Verhoeven 58 (11)
271. John Quinn 58 (24)
272. Gary 58 (39)
273. David Tan 58 (54)
274. Dan James 58 (59)
275. Sam Gurbutt 58 (79)
276. Alex Bottomley 58 (111)
277. Warren Quinn 58 (153)
278. George Hall 58 (173)
279. Oscar Matthews-Wright 58 (244)
280. Terence Cooper 58 (330)
281. Zach Gillam 58 (475)
282. Ken Rice 58 (636)
283. Hamzat Ken Isah 58 (684)
284. Sam Miller 59 (46)
285. Deirdre Flynn 59 (51)
286. Lina Lukoseviciute 59 (136)
287. Antonia Dineen 59 (149)
288. Howard Mighell 59 (154)
289. Laura Meissner 59 (261)
290. Eman 59 (389)
291. Meredith 59 (395)
292. Andy Silvester 60 (36)
293= Al Marshall 60 (104)
293= Karim Q 60 (104)
295. Tom Dobson 60 (136)
296. David Potter 60 (154)
297. Michael Mainelli 60 (284)
298. Nick Cartwright 60 (304)
299. Mandeeq 60 (379)
300. Fin Collings 60 (604)
301. Ben Watson 61 (2)
302. James Watson 61 (36)
303. Lochan Korpal 61 (149)
304. Michael Tattersall 61 (154)
305. Mike Wallach 61 (181)
306. Eman Dickens 61 (188)
307. Anna-Rose King 61 (204)
308. Louis Parrent 61 (716)
309. Jamie Murray-Jones 62 (36)
310. Tom Hobohm 62 (39)
311. Ed Blois-Brooke 62 (135)
312. Fraser Smith 62 (146)
313. Roy Lonergan 63 (45)
314. Georgia Crawford Dellar 63 (110)
315. Andrea Sinnott 63 (172)
316. John Hodgson 63 (184)
317. John Hearn 63 (235)
318. Eden Hamilton 63 (254)
319. Benjamin Watson 64 (2)
320. Gerard Tyler 64 (33)
321. Krasimir Dinev 64 (41)
322. James Sarson 64 (46)
323. Choi´╝îChing Yan (Michelle) 64 (137)
324. Aidan McCallm 64 (213)
325. Luke Corning 64 (316)
326. Christopher Tenezaca 64 (354)
327. Nina Kramer 65 (29)
328. Jack Ellis 65 (96)
329. Lindsay Jenkins 65 (111)
330. Alan Coleman 65 (222)
331. Teresa McCracken 65 (286)
332. Michelle Munyi 65 (304)
333= John Mackintosh 66 (54)
333= Zaeem Bhanji 66 (54)
335. Steven Engberg 66 (56)
336. Rob Daniel 66 (146)
337. Anna McKenna 66 (322)
338. Andrew Simon Conway 66 (379)
339. Lorna Epperson 66 (716)
340. Dom Cullum 67 (4)
341. Jeremy Beckwith 67 (16)
342. Douglas March 67 (46)
343. Nick Rakowski 67 (52)
344. James Young 67 (84)
345. Stephen Clarke 67 (104)
346. Alex Thwaite 67 (128)
347. Oxford (Paul Omerod) 67 (179)
348. eleanor verrier 67 (183)
349. Teja von Holzschueher 67 (354)
350. Michael 68 (104)
351. simon purvis 68 (129)
352. Liam Jolliff 68 (264)
353. Luis Valenzuela 68 (754)
354. Neil Scott 68 (790)
355. Daniel Hodson 69 (186)
356. Emil Marlowe 69 (203)
357. Oskar Vaidya 69 (304)
358. John Koshy 69 (329)
359. David LT 70 (54)
360. Tom Noakes 70 (71)
361. = Eli Janowski 70 (136)
362. Eddie Hoghton 70 (453)
363. Christine 71 (34)
364. James England 71 (36)
365. Bertie Hazell 71 (56)
366. Thomas Harper 71 (66)
367. Richard Starkey 71 (104)
368. Lindsay McKinley 71 (161)
369. Ben Ward 71 (202)
370. Tom Severino 71 (336)
371. Karthik Puravankara 71 (554)
372. Heino Vockrodt 72 (19)
373. georgia pienaar 72 (107)
374. Miles Novotny 72 (154)
375. Gavin 72 (159)
376. simon opie 73 (50)
377. Carl Fisher 73 (102)
378. Lucy Kyger 73 (136)
379. James Hewett 73 (137)
380. Jane Jones 73 (613)
381. Giacomo Donati Clarke 74 (40)
382. Giacomo Cattoretti 74 (56)
383. Rob Clifford 74 (127)
384. Jon Beckett 74 (191)
385. Caroline Reuben 74 (282)
386. Mark Hughes 75 (29)
387. Will Bristol 75 (36)
388. David Rios 75 (84)
389. Patrick Abbey 75 (104)
390. Adam Cooper 75 (129)
391. Robert Duffy 75 (254)
392. Patrick Totty 75 (454)
393. Jack Keucker 75 (554)
394. Aidan Paul 76 (4)
395. Matt Stevensonn 76 (54)
396. Brett Schneider 76 (172)
397. Andrew Somerville 76 (204)
398. Martin Ward 76 (254)
399. James Villano 76 (485)
400. Aaron Finlayson 77 (4)
401. Geo Sato Rain 77 (112)
402. Ryan Abels 77 (386)
403. Nhung Doan 78 (30)
404. Robert Mann 78 (98)
405. James Harper 78 (141)
406. Tom Chatfield 78 (180)
407. Charles MacMillan 78 (255)
408. Polly Maguire 79 (14)
409. Peter Szabo 79 (454)
410. Timothy Yandle 80 (19)
411. Matthew Davies 80 (54)
412. Ben Turpin 80 (111)
413. Vera Dean 80 (159)
414. Jon Moulton 80 (346)
415. Oliver Bond 80 (354)
416. Tim Guinness 81 (79)
417. R Louis 81 (136)
418. Naomi Cauvas 81 (192)
419. Faye Jones 81 (533)
420. Joseph Runchman 82 (79)
421. Colin 82 (145)
422. Allison Jepson 82 (272)
423. Jacob Rumley 83 (4)
424. Natalie Wood 83 (50)
425. Jacob Sorenson 83 (88)
426. Tim Breslin 83 (129)
427. Aagam Shah 83 (229)
428= Angus Suttle 84 (4)
428= Callum Blacow 84 (4)
428= Cambridge (Graham Gudgin) 84 (4)
431. Thomas Spencer 84 (44)
432. Johnny Reynolds 84 (54)
433. Eric Cullen 84 (86)
434. Peter Cummings 86 (130)
435= Graham Ablett 86 (154)
435= Karan Sanghavi 86 (154)
437. Tibor Heskett 86 (254)
438. Will J Burton 86 (954)
439. Jim Bastin 87 (154)
440. Rob de Laszlo 87 (254)
441. Isabelle Barclay 88 (60)
442. Wesley Hui 88 (173)
443= Hugo Yap 88 (186)
443= Neil Arbore 88 (186)
445. Oscar Moyes 89 (56)
446. Edmund Dannenberg 89 (74)
447. Bruno Mauney 89 (247)
448. Sarath Murugan 90 (354)
449. George Oakman 91 (42)
450. Kim Spreadbury 92 (129)
451. James 92 (1154)
452. Damon de Laszlo 93 (54)
453. Abdul Dumbaya 93 (240)
454. Sam Juthani 93 (246)
455. Arthur Jung 93 (258)
456. Thomas Brandford 94 (4)
457= Hugh Hawkins 94 (54)
457= Kevin Osei 94 (54)
459. Jeremy Tee 94 (504)
460. Samuel Portas 95 (46)
461. Tom Marsland 95 (105)
462. Patrick Voss 95 (214)
463. Sam Horgan 97 (33)
464. Stephan Michalski 97 (137)
465. Denise Rayner 97 (236)
466. Bolu 99 (4)
467. Gaurang Rami 99 (44)
468. Joshua Parrisshind 100 (106)
469. William de Laszlo 100 (296)
470. borgia Su 101 (54)
471. Jamie Robinson 102 (186)
472. Rory Cook 102 (44874)
473. jonas crosland 103 (696)
474. Colin Taylor 104 (124)
475. Wu Que (Titus) 105 (38)
476. = Frank Brierley 105 (404)
477. Michael Arnott 106 (37)
478. Ken Liebold 106 (69)
479. Dunmola 107 (4)
480. = Freddy Main 107 (454)
481. = Leo Taylor 117 (45)
482. = Yongze (Andy) Du 120 (131)
483. Joshua Bailey 124 (1343)
484. Karnan Sembian 128 (40)
485. Joseph Wales 130 (744)
486. = William Tremelling 132 (111)
487. Jake Cushion 137 (1664)
488. Peter Sainsbury 142 (71)
489. Maximilian Haddon 143 (31)
490. Gregor Welton 148 (415)
491. Alfie Cooper 148 (94296)
492. Toby Pinto 156 (78)
493. William Moriarty 166 (1854)
494. Edward Alger 170 (1420)
495. Anna Tighe 174 (119)
496. nicholas finney 175 (1)
497. Karan Garg 175 (129)
498. Leo Solloway 180 (1344)
499. Benjamin Lawrence 187 (136)
500. Gillean Brook 187 (399)
501. Gerald ringe 187 (552)
502. Rebecca Driscoll 189 (31)
503. = Minming (Angela) Lai 216 (1346)
504. abe armstrong 220 (154)
505. Owen kean 225 (32)
506. Kevin Cahill 236 (954)
507. Leon Hooker 242 (986)
508. William Pierson 264 (54)
509. William Sutcliffe 266 (40)
510. Jason Nordsell 270 (166)
511. Tom Elliott 275 (246)
512. = Emily Haroldson 300 (9)
513. = Erica Burke 301 (66)
514. = Fred Milano 301 (586)
515. = Paul Herbert 307 (149)
516. = Wang Chenxia (Celia) 372 (345)
517. = Callum Sheridan 423 (86)
518. = Jack Cazier 493 (33654)
519. = Robin Steed 674 (54)
(The score is calculated as the sum of the absolute differences between the predictions and reality, multiplied by ten; lowest score wins.  The number in brackets represents the tie-breaker score where appropriate).