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Event Notice:
Weekly Digest:

Clash of the Titans VI

Supported by PwC

     

#ERCTitans

       

On 30th November 2016, the Economic Research Council hosted the sixth annual "Clash of the Titans" event.  We invited three notable economic alumni from the top three university economics departments in the country (Graham Gudgin from Cambridge, Vicky Pryce from LSE, and Paul Ormerod from Oxford) to give their predictions for the year ahead.

We asked them to focus on a number of categories:

  • UK GDP growth (Quarterly, % change)
  • UK Inflation Rate (CPI All Items, % change on previous year, averaged over 3 month period)
  • UK Unemployment Rate (Quarterly, all 16 and over, SA)
  • UK Interest Rate (Quarterly average of the official Bank Rate)
  • UK Average Earnings Growth (Quarterly % growth on same 3 month period in previous year, excluding bonuses and arrears)
  • Tie-breaker: The most expensive that a troy ounce of Gold will be (in dollars) between 5th January and 31st October 2017.

We are no longer accepting entries to this year's public competition.  Final results will be announced in December 2017, but we will be updating the scoreboard on this page as the year progresses.  You can see a list of previous winners of the competition here.

Current Standings

(as of 28/2/17)

Please note: Rankings include figures so far for inflation and interest rates

1. Pete Comley 2 (237)
2. Master Yoda 3 (10)
3. Matthew Woolmore 3 (222)
4. Steve Douglas 3 (487)
5. Nigel Hauck 4 (14)
6. Douglas March 4 (42)
7. Chris Todd-Davies 4 (107)
8= Laurie Patten 5 (8)
8= Sean Holly 5 (8)
10. Bogdan Polovinko 5 (18)
11. Tom White 5 (42)
12. Michelle Pesce 5 (189)
13. Steven Websdale 5 (352)
14. Graham van Terheyden 5 (542)
15. Roman Cosentino 6 (24)
16. Dan James 6 (29)
17. Nicholas Thorn 6 (49)
18. Shabbir Merali 6 (69)
19. Tim Goldfinch 6 (117)
20. Peter Phillips 6 (129)
21. Tim Goldfinch 6 (142)
22. Joseph Kane 6 (157)
23. Nicola Sawford 6 (237)
24. Michael Baxter 6 (242)
25. Renedi 6 (305)
26. Andrew Purves 6 (342)
27. Ruben Bo Dower 6 (417)
28. Dan Tomlinson 6 (630)
29. Louis Parrent 6 (804)
30. Andrew Sentance 7 (17)
31. Peter Prior-Mills 7 (27)
32. Hector Calvo 7 (42)
33. Krasimir Dinev 7 (48)
34. Nina Kramer 7 (59)
35. Ross Bogert 7 (83)
36. Roy Simpson 7 (92)
37. Oscar Binny 7 (130)
38. Andrew Goodwin 7 (142)
39. Helen Mossman 7 (174)
40= David Robertson 7 (242)
40= Ross Hay 7 (242)
42. Amal Cian Agastin 7 (255)
43. Seb Hancock 7 (269)
44. Theo Banner 7 (334)
45. Aoife Lowe-Davies 7 (392)
46. Lucy Derrickson 7 (524)
47. Zac Gross 7 (592)
48. Andrew Stebles 7 (1492)
49. Polovinko Bogdan 8 (27)
50. Jack Fosten 8 (41)
51. Lingling (Kelly) Chang 8 (48)
52. William McKenzie 8 (50)
53. Rob Daniel 8 (58)
54. James MoncurBrown 8 (94)
55. Max Verhoeven 8 (99)
56. Gary 8 (127)
57. Ali Hijazi 8 (142)
58. Justin Farrington Smith 8 (167)
59. Ian Andrews 8 (192)
60. Thomas Randell 8 (195)
61. Alan Davies 8 (203)
62. James Hewett 8 (225)
63. Anton Gospodinov 8 (242)
64. Charlie Colborn 8 (243)
65. Sam McDonald 8 (302)
66. Daniele Viappiani 8 (367)
67. Alex De Gelas 8 (427)
68. Christopher Tenezaca 8 (442)
69. Donna Trump 8 (467)
70. Virinchi Velchuru 8 (487)
71. Karnan Sembian 8 (505)
72. Kristopher Cawood 8 (544)
73. Serene 8 (592)
74. Conrad Jordan 8 (1524)
75. Nathan Woolley 9 (8)
76. Aaron Mathews 9 (38)
77. Jonathan Furness 9 (50)
78. George Squibbs 9 (67)
79. Gary Slater 9 (72)
80. Polly Maguire 9 (74)
81. Ross Dexter 9 (92)
82. Michael Fay 9 (101)
83. Grant Fitzner 9 (122)
84. Edgar Chemla 9 (142)
85. Dom Huber 9 (149)
86. Jonathan Croud 9 (157)
87. Frank 9 (167)
88= michael kenney 9 (224)
88= Pauline Travers 9 (224)
90. Tabitha Owen 9 (232)
91. Tom Flynn 9 (242)
92. Thomas Conley 9 (269)
93. Coln Duxberry 9 (367)
94= Mark 9 (392)
94= Rebecca Harding 9 (392)
94= Sean Wong 9 (392)
97. Mette Lehrmann 9 (399)
98. Zayn Riaz 9 (415)
99. Destiny Duke 9 (448)
100. Manuel J Porras 9 (642)
101. Hamzat Ken Isah 9 (772)
102. Julian Barker 10 (17)
103. Adam Harmon 10 (18)
104. William Tremelling 10 (22)
105. Alex Bottomley 10 (23)
106. Sophie Alders 10 (24)
107. Choi´╝îChing Yan (Michelle) 10 (48)
108. Helen Maas 10 (84)
109. Lora Botelho 10 (99)
110. Edward Cubitt 10 (111)
111. Matthew Elson 10 (122)
112= Cory Whitman 10 (124)
112= Stacia Borislavov 10 (124)
114. Steven Engberg 10 (144)
115. James Gordon 10 (157)
116. David Morgan 10 (194)
117. Naren Dutta 10 (197)
118. Adam Chong 10 (203)
119= Bianca Todorut 10 (237)
119= Chris Gardner 10 (237)
121. Warren Quinn 10 (241)
122. Tony Campbell 10 (242)
123. Emile Galatti 10 (249)
124. Adrian Reuter 10 (260)
125= Louis Foster 10 (292)
125= Mark Hutt 10 (292)
127. Alan Coleman 10 (310)
128. Oscar Matthews-Wright 10 (332)
129. Karen Lucas 10 (337)
130. Shrina Parekh 10 (342)
131. Freddie 10 (350)
132= Alexnader Galouzis 10 (352)
132= Omar Maimouni 10 (352)
134. Cassie McNab 10 (374)
135. Sam Akpan 10 (412)
136. Claudia Gross 10 (424)
137. Robell Astaw 10 (442)
138. Andrew Cranmer 10 (492)
139. Zach Gillam 10 (563)
140. Cassandra Oakes 10 (660)
141= Dilip Shah 11 (2)
141= Isabel Roszkowski 11 (2)
143. Gerry Mark 11 (49)
144. Ben Eyre-White 11 (50)
145= James England 11 (52)
145= Marcus Chambers 11 (52)
147. Gerard Tyler 11 (55)
148. Tim Coleman 11 (67)
149. Gabriel Howse 11 (74)
150. Neal Judd 11 (92)
151. John Quinn 11 (112)
152. Emil Marlowe 11 (115)
153. Mike Agate 11 (122)
154. Greg Opie 11 (129)
155. Dan King 11 (189)
156= Andrew Corner 11 (192)
156= Karim Q 11 (192)
156= Simon de Baat 11 (192)
159. John Davison 11 (217)
160. Alistow Blake 11 (232)
161. Aimee Allam 11 (239)
162= David Potter 11 (242)
162= Howard Mighell 11 (242)
162= Jon Exley 11 (242)
165. George Hall 11 (261)
166. Oxford (Paul Omerod) 11 (267)
167. Mike Wallach 11 (269)
168. eleanor verrier 11 (271)
169. Andy Smith 11 (288)
170. Stephen Keating 11 (292)
171. Henry Forder 11 (342)
172. Alex Ralphs 11 (350)
173. Christina Musson 11 (369)
174. Luke Corning 11 (404)
175. Holly Parish 11 (537)
176. Cameron Davidson 11 (545)
177. Marco Yu 11 (722)
178. Ken Rice 11 (724)
179. George Flynn 11 (792)
180. Lukas Lastas 12 (11)
181. David Dike 12 (30)
182= Sebastian Turner 12 (42)
182= W Barker 12 (42)
184. Jack Dunkelberg 12 (58)
185. Dom Cullum 12 (84)
186. Sandy Taylor 12 (92)
187. Rob Gill 12 (102)
188. Pamela Barker 12 (142)
189. John Hearn 12 (147)
190. Thomas Markovitch 12 (163)
191= Al Marshall 12 (192)
191= Gavin Jones 12 (192)
193= David Cropper 12 (224)
193= Eli Janowski 12 (224)
195. Lochan Korpal 12 (237)
196. Andrew Lorne 12 (250)
197. Sanjeev Menon 12 (267)
198. Daniel Hodson 12 (274)
199. Ben Ward 12 (290)
200. Andrew Somerville 12 (292)
201. Adam potter 12 (302)
202. Emiliano Russo 12 (317)
203= Eden Hamilton 12 (342)
203= Jamele McIntosh 12 (342)
205. Archita Tayal 12 (367)
206. Michael Mainelli 12 (372)
207= Michelle Munyi 12 (392)
207= Toby Okoli 12 (392)
209. John Koshy 12 (417)
210. Samina Pandor 12 (422)
211. Saul Drury 12 (424)
212. Robin Henry 12 (492)
213. Peter Vaughan 12 (510)
214. Hannelore Elsden 12 (642)
215. Fin Collings 12 (692)
216. Lorna Epperson 12 (804)
217. Emma Rose 13 (43)
218. James Watson 13 (52)
219= David Field 13 (92)
219= Jacob Rumley 13 (92)
221. Andrew Jagger 13 (142)
222. Samuel Ennis 13 (162)
223. Ezekiel Quartey 13 (166)
224. David Rios 13 (172)
225. Carl Fisher 13 (190)
226= Liam mackle 13 (192)
226= Piers Harmer 13 (192)
228. James Elkington 13 (195)
229. Lindsay Jenkins 13 (199)
230. Alex Thwaite 13 (216)
231. Jim Bastin 13 (242)
232. Andrea Sinnott 13 (260)
233. John Hodgson 13 (272)
234. Brett Adessi 13 (285)
235. Anna-Rose King 13 (292)
236. Bruce Hagwood 13 (310)
237= Daniel Knight 13 (342)
237= Samuel Gold 13 (342)
239. Christina Napier 13 (347)
240. Laura Meissner 13 (349)
241. Teresa McCracken 13 (374)
242. Angela Pearce 13 (385)
243= Bruce McRobie 13 (392)
243= Jack S Devlin 13 (392)
245. Anna McKenna 13 (410)
246. Tom Severino 13 (424)
247. Eman 13 (477)
248. Meredith 13 (483)
249. Natashya Lalani 13 (501)
250. Maria Jansing 13 (524)
251. Peter Szabo 13 (542)
252. Maxamillian John 13 (567)
253. Glen Mehn 13 (592)
254. Hamzat Ken Isah 13 (772)
255= Alexander Silver 14 (8)
255= Jack Ellis 14 (8)
257. Bertie Hazell 14 (32)
258. Andy 14 (52)
259. Will Bristol 14 (124)
260. Aidan McCallm 14 (125)
261. David Garforth-Bles 14 (127)
262. Natalie Wood 14 (138)
263. Nick Rakowski 14 (140)
264= David Tan 14 (142)
264= Zaeem Bhanji 14 (142)
266. James Young 14 (172)
267. Kurtis Henry 14 (174)
268. Stephen Clarke 14 (192)
269. Cristen Wegener 14 (194)
270= Sam Gagliardi 14 (224)
270= Tom Dobson 14 (224)
272. Antonia Dineen 14 (237)
273. MIKE WHEELER 14 (242)
274. Kevin van der Beek 14 (264)
275. Nick Cattermole 14 (292)
276. Saul Dawes 14 (309)
277. Annika 14 (329)
278= CATS CAMBRIDGE A2 ECONOMICS E1 14 (342)
278= Matt Newton 14 (342)
280. Owen Sy 14 (367)
281. Colette Roux 14 (378)
282. Rory Reed 14 (382)
283= Jimmy Nipps 14 (392)
283= Nick Cartwright 14 (392)
285. Miles Woods 14 (424)
286. Mandeeq 14 (467)
287. Sally Cantero 14 (599)
288. Edesiri Akati-udi 14 (602)
289. Karthik Puravankara 14 (642)
290. Jonathan Gusson 14 (805)
291. John Ryan 15 (18)
292. Lina Lukoseviciute 15 (48)
293. Jamie Murray-Jones 15 (52)
294. Colin 15 (57)
295. Vera Dean 15 (71)
296= Aaron Finlayson 15 (92)
296= Angus Suttle 15 (92)
298= Albert Ferrant 15 (192)
298= Michael 15 (192)
300. Lucy Kyger 15 (224)
301= Daniel Greenwood 15 (242)
301= Sarah Kemsley 15 (242)
303. Saatvik Bansal 15 (292)
304. Helen Antonis 15 (334)
305= Martin Ward 15 (342)
305= Yi Lian Lee 15 (342)
307. Robbie Griffith 15 (361)
308. Michael Akerman 15 (374)
309. Amy Popiolek 15 (386)
310. Richard Oirschot 15 (392)
311. Oliver Moore 15 (424)
312. Anita Hummel 15 (440)
313. Jeremy Vincent 15 (442)
314. Marc Brennan 15 (1059)
315. Sam Miller 16 (42)
316. Benjamin Watson 16 (86)
317. Jon Beckett 16 (103)
318. Mark Hughes 16 (117)
319= James Gildea 16 (142)
319= Matt Stevensonn 16 (142)
321. Sam Gurbutt 16 (167)
322. Dan Britton 16 (171)
323. Robert Mann 16 (186)
324. Ravi Karia 16 (192)
325. georgia pienaar 16 (195)
326. Georgia Crawford Dellar 16 (198)
327. Adam Cooper 16 (217)
328. Michael Tattersall 16 (242)
329. Miranda Ackerman 16 (274)
330. Eman Dickens 16 (276)
331. Simon Danielli 16 (292)
332. Karen Cross 16 (324)
333. Allison Jepson 16 (360)
334. Caroline Reuben 16 (370)
335. Sarath Murugan 16 (442)
336. Ian Lewis 16 (533)
337. Dominic Teeling 16 (537)
338. James Villano 16 (573)
339. Ned Angier 16 (598)
340. Tim 16 (743)
341. d spencer 16 (1091)
342. Roy Lonergan 17 (43)
343. Andy Silvester 17 (52)
344. Ben Watson 17 (86)
345. Joseph Runchman 17 (167)
346. Hannah 17 (192)
347. Peter Cummings 17 (218)
348. Ed Blois-Brooke 17 (224)
349. Brett Schneider 17 (260)
350. Jonas Zygas 17 (292)
351. Richard Hawkins 17 (337)
352. Liam Jolliff 17 (352)
353. Oskar Vaidya 17 (392)
354. Christina Wilkes 17 (399)
355= Abbas Adejonwo 17 (442)
355= Oliver Bond 17 (442)
357. Eddie Hoghton 17 (541)
358. Faye Jones 17 (621)
359. Aidan Paul 18 (92)
360. Tom Hobohm 18 (127)
361. Thomas Spencer 18 (132)
362. Deirdre Flynn 18 (140)
363= Hugh Hawkins 18 (142)
363= Johnny Reynolds 18 (142)
365. Thomas Harper 18 (154)
366= Patrick Abbey 18 (192)
366= Pooria Beigi 18 (192)
366= Richard Starkey 18 (192)
369. Miles Novotny 18 (242)
370. Jon Moulton 18 (258)
371. Tom Chatfield 18 (268)
372. Joyce Tao 18 (400)
373. Terence Cooper 18 (418)
374. Cedric Ware 18 (424)
375. Andrew Simon Conway 18 (467)
376. Nathan 18 (492)
377. Patrick Totty 18 (542)
378. Paul Harrison 18 (727)
379. Luis Valenzuela 18 (842)
380. Geo Sato Rain 19 (24)
381. Catrin Murphy 19 (46)
382. Fraser Smith 19 (58)
383= David LT 19 (142)
383= Kevin Osei 19 (142)
385. Isabelle Barclay 19 (148)
386. Eric Cullen 19 (174)
387. Richard Winton 19 (192)
388. Robert Sharman 19 (214)
389. Tim Breslin 19 (217)
390. R Louis 19 (224)
391. Sarah Martin 19 (233)
392. Tilly Parke 19 (242)
393. Neil Arbore 19 (274)
394. Naomi Cauvas 19 (280)
395= Ruben 19 (292)
395= Stuart Cockburn 19 (292)
397. Zhoufei Shi 19 (422)
398. Jack Keucker 19 (642)
399. LSE (Vicky Pryce) 19 (692)
400. Sonya Swiderski 19 (759)
401. Hamzat Ken Isah 19 (773)
402. Neil Scott 19 (878)
403. William Barker 20 (58)
404. Jamie Robinson 20 (98)
405= Heino Vockrodt 20 (107)
405= Timothy Yandle 20 (107)
407. Giacomo Donati Clarke 20 (128)
408. Gaurang Rami 20 (132)
409. Matthew Davies 20 (142)
410. Graham Ablett 20 (242)
411. Glen Morris 21 (26)
412. Christine 21 (122)
413. Tom Noakes 21 (159)
414. Ronaldo Nazaré 21 (242)
415. Rob Clifford 22 (39)
416. Francis Fennelly 22 (42)
417. Georgia graham 22 (142)
418. Oscar Moyes 22 (144)
419. Edmund Dannenberg 22 (162)
420. Emily Cutler 22 (192)
421. Anthony Glaser 22 (210)
422. simon purvis 22 (217)
423. James Harper 22 (229)
424. Bruno Mauney 22 (335)
425. Glyn Manton 22 (667)
426. Ben Turpin 23 (23)
427. Nhung Doan 23 (58)
428. Gavin 23 (71)
429= Callum Blacow 23 (92)
429= Cambridge (Graham Gudgin) 23 (92)
431. Rebecca Driscoll 23 (119)
432. simon opie 23 (138)
433. Sam Juthani 23 (158)
434. Abhai Rajguru 23 (217)
435. Leighton Hughes 23 (266)
436. = Hugo Yap 23 (274)
437. Aagam Shah 23 (317)
438. Charles MacMillan 23 (343)
439. Graeme Burton 23 (592)
440. James 23 (1242)
441. Sam Horgan 24 (121)
442. Patrick Voss 24 (126)
443. John Mackintosh 24 (142)
444. Karan Sanghavi 24 (242)
445. Teja von Holzschueher 24 (442)
446. Ryan Abels 24 (474)
447. George Oakman 25 (130)
448. Wesley Hui 25 (261)
449. = Jane Jones 25 (701)
450. Damon de Laszlo 26 (142)
451. Stephan Michalski 26 (225)
452. Lindsay McKinley 26 (249)
453. James Sarson 27 (42)
454. nicholas finney 27 (87)
455. Anna Tighe 27 (207)
456. William de Laszlo 27 (384)
457. Wu Que (Titus) 28 (126)
458. borgia Su 28 (142)
459. Thomas Brandford 29 (92)
460. Tom Marsland 29 (193)
461. Colin Taylor 29 (212)
462. Giacomo Cattoretti 30 (144)
463. Ken Liebold 30 (157)
464. Rob de Laszlo 30 (342)
465. Jeremy Tee 30 (592)
466. Joshua Bailey 30 (1255)
467. Samuel Portas 31 (42)
468. Dunmola 31 (92)
469. = Arthur Jung 31 (346)
470. Abdul Dumbaya 32 (328)
471. Joseph Wales 32 (832)
472. Michael Arnott 33 (125)
473. Jacob Sorenson 33 (176)
474. Frank Brierley 34 (492)
475. Freddy Main 35 (542)
476. Jeremy Beckwith 36 (104)
477. Robert Duffy 36 (342)
478. William Moriarty 36 (1942)
479. Maximilian Haddon 37 (57)
480. Denise Rayner 37 (324)
481. Rory Cook 39 (44962)
482. Karnan Sembian 40 (128)
483. Gregor Welton 40 (503)
484. = Joshua Parrisshind 41 (18)
485. Yongze (Andy) Du 41 (43)
486. Peter Sainsbury 44 (17)
487. Robin Steed 45 (142)
488. Tim Guinness 45 (167)
489. Jake Cushion 48 (1752)
490. Toby Pinto 51 (10)
491. = Tibor Heskett 51 (342)
492. jonas crosland 51 (608)
493. Will J Burton 54 (1042)
494. Leo Taylor 58 (43)
495. Minming (Angela) Lai 60 (1258)
496. Alfie Cooper 60 (94384)
497. Karan Garg 61 (40)
498. Benjamin Lawrence 61 (48)
499. Leo Solloway 61 (1255)
500. Kim Spreadbury 62 (217)
501. Bolu 64 (92)
502. Gerald ringe 66 (640)
503. Owen kean 67 (120)
504. Edward Alger 69 (1508)
505. Gillean Brook 73 (487)
506. abe armstrong 74 (242)
507. William Pierson 76 (142)
508. Tom Elliott 83 (158)
509. = Kevin Cahill 85 (1042)
510. Leon Hooker 91 (1074)
511. William Sutcliffe 92 (48)
512. Jason Nordsell 94 (78)
513. Paul Herbert 95 (237)
514. Wang Chenxia (Celia) 103 (257)
515. Erica Burke 109 (22)
516. Emily Haroldson 109 (80)
517. Fred Milano 109 (674)
518. = Callum Sheridan 131 (174)
519. = Jack Cazier 175 (33742)
(The score is calculated as the sum of the absolute differences between the predictions and reality, multiplied by ten; lowest score wins.  The number in brackets represents the tie-breaker score where appropriate).