Clash of the Titans VI

Supported by PwC

     

#ERCTitans

       

On 30th November 2016, the Economic Research Council hosted the sixth annual "Clash of the Titans" event.  We invited three notable economic alumni from the top three university economics departments in the country (Graham Gudgin from Cambridge, Vicky Pryce from LSE, and Paul Ormerod from Oxford) to give their predictions for the year ahead.

We asked them to focus on a number of categories:

  • UK GDP growth (Quarterly, % change)
  • UK Inflation Rate (CPI All Items, % change on previous year, averaged over 3 month period)
  • UK Unemployment Rate (Quarterly, all 16 and over, SA)
  • UK Interest Rate (Quarterly average of the official Bank Rate)
  • UK Average Earnings Growth (Quarterly % growth on same 3 month period in previous year, excluding bonuses and arrears)
  • Tie-breaker: The most expensive that a troy ounce of Gold will be (in dollars) between 5th January and 31st October 2017.

We are no longer accepting entries to this year's public competition.  Final results will be announced in December 2017, but we will be updating the scoreboard on this page as the year progresses.  You can see a list of previous winners of the competition here.

Current Standings

(as of 10/07/17)

Please note: Rankings include figures that are complete for each quarter

1. = Shabbir Merali 7 (33)
2. = Aaron Mathews 10 (74)
3. michael kenney 10 (188)
4. Steve Douglas 10 (451)
5. Karnan Sembian 10 (469)
6. Virinchi Velchuru 11 (451)
7. W Barker 12 (6)
8. Matthew Elson 12 (86)
9. Greg Opie 12 (93)
10. Louis Foster 12 (256)
11. Graham van Terheyden 12 (506)
12. Maxamillian John 12 (531)
13. Dilip Shah 13 (34)
14. Sean Holly 13 (44)
15. Sandy Taylor 13 (56)
16. Tabitha Owen 13 (196)
17. Steven Websdale 13 (316)
18. Serene 13 (556)
19. George Flynn 13 (756)
20. Isabel Roszkowski 14 (34)
21. Roy Simpson 14 (56)
22. Michael Fay 14 (65)
23. Tim Goldfinch 14 (81)
24. Andrew Goodwin 14 (106)
25. James Gordon 14 (121)
26. Thomas Markovitch 14 (127)
27. Andrew Corner 14 (156)
28. Pete Comley 14 (201)
29. Aimee Allam 14 (203)
30. Michael Baxter 14 (206)
31. Karen Lucas 14 (301)
32= Rebecca Harding 14 (356)
32= Toby Okoli 14 (356)
34. Gabriel Howse 15 (38)
35. Laurie Patten 15 (44)
36. Pamela Barker 15 (106)
37. Joseph Kane 15 (121)
38. Alistow Blake 15 (196)
39. David Robertson 15 (206)
40. Amal Cian Agastin 15 (219)
41. Sean Wong 15 (356)
42. Destiny Duke 15 (412)
43. Holly Parish 15 (501)
44. Cameron Davidson 15 (509)
45. Dan Tomlinson 15 (594)
46. Manuel J Porras 15 (606)
47. Marco Yu 15 (686)
48. Master Yoda 16 (46)
49. Oscar Binny 16 (166)
50. Nicola Sawford 16 (201)
51= Ross Hay 16 (206)
51= Tom Flynn 16 (206)
53. Oliver Moore 16 (388)
54. Robin Henry 16 (456)
55. Natashya Lalani 16 (465)
56. Hamzat Ken Isah 16 (736)
57. Andrew Stebles 16 (1456)
58. Adam Harmon 17 (18)
59. George Squibbs 17 (31)
60. Peter Phillips 17 (93)
61. Ali Hijazi 17 (106)
62. Justin Farrington Smith 17 (131)
63. Dan King 17 (153)
64= Gavin Jones 17 (156)
64= Ian Andrews 17 (156)
66. James Elkington 17 (159)
67. Charlie Colborn 17 (207)
68. Adam potter 17 (266)
69. Richard Hawkins 17 (301)
70. Andrew Purves 17 (306)
71. Freddie 17 (314)
72= Alexnader Galouzis 17 (316)
72= Omar Maimouni 17 (316)
74= Coln Duxberry 17 (331)
74= Daniele Viappiani 17 (331)
76= Aoife Lowe-Davies 17 (356)
76= Jack S Devlin 17 (356)
76= Jimmy Nipps 17 (356)
79. Ruben Bo Dower 17 (381)
80. Donna Trump 17 (431)
81. Andrew Cranmer 17 (456)
82. Sally Cantero 17 (563)
83. Louis Parrent 17 (768)
84. Marcus Chambers 18 (16)
85. Andrew Sentance 18 (19)
86. Gary Slater 18 (36)
87. William McKenzie 18 (86)
88. Michelle Pesce 18 (153)
89. Thomas Randell 18 (159)
90. John Davison 18 (181)
91. Chris Gardner 18 (201)
92. Renedi 18 (269)
93= Daniel Knight 18 (306)
93= Matt Newton 18 (306)
95. Alex Ralphs 18 (314)
96. Richard Oirschot 18 (356)
97. Alex De Gelas 18 (391)
98. Lucy Derrickson 18 (488)
99. Glen Mehn 18 (556)
100. Cassandra Oakes 18 (624)
101. Paul Harrison 18 (691)
102. Dan James 19 (7)
103. Andy 19 (16)
104. Julian Barker 19 (19)
105. David Field 19 (56)
106. Rob Gill 19 (66)
107. Chris Todd-Davies 19 (71)
108. Mike Agate 19 (86)
109. Cory Whitman 19 (88)
110. Dom Huber 19 (113)
111. Jonathan Croud 19 (121)
112. David Cropper 19 (188)
113= Anton Gospodinov 19 (206)
113= Daniel Greenwood 19 (206)
115. George Hall 19 (225)
116. Andy Smith 19 (252)
117. Simon Danielli 19 (256)
118. Christina Napier 19 (311)
119. Christina Musson 19 (333)
120. Colette Roux 19 (342)
121. Abbas Adejonwo 19 (406)
122. Eman 19 (441)
123. Ian Lewis 19 (497)
124. Dominic Teeling 19 (501)
125. Ned Angier 19 (562)
126. Conrad Jordan 19 (1488)
127= Hector Calvo 20 (6)
127= Tom White 20 (6)
129. Polovinko Bogdan 20 (9)
130. = Sophie Alders 20 (12)
131. Jonathan Furness 20 (14)
132. Tim Coleman 20 (31)
133. Bogdan Polovinko 20 (54)
134= Neal Judd 20 (56)
134= = Ross Dexter 20 (56)
136. James MoncurBrown 20 (58)
137. Max Verhoeven 20 (63)
138. Grant Fitzner 20 (86)
139. David Garforth-Bles 20 (91)
140= James Gildea 20 (106)
140= Tim Goldfinch 20 (106)
142= Al Marshall 20 (156)
142= Albert Ferrant 20 (156)
142= Ravi Karia 20 (156)
145. Alan Davies 20 (167)
146. Matthew Woolmore 20 (186)
147= Jon Exley 20 (206)
147= MIKE WHEELER 20 (206)
147= Tilly Parke 20 (206)
150. Andrew Lorne 20 (214)
151. Miranda Ackerman 20 (238)
152= Jonas Zygas 20 (256)
152= Ruben 20 (256)
154. Sam McDonald 20 (266)
155. Oscar Matthews-Wright 20 (296)
156. Jamele McIntosh 20 (306)
157. Owen Sy 20 (331)
158. Nathan 20 (456)
159. Zac Gross 20 (556)
160. Tim 20 (707)
161. Peter Prior-Mills 21 (9)
162. Krasimir Dinev 21 (11)
163. = Nicholas Thorn 21 (13)
164. Helen Maas 21 (48)
165. Lora Botelho 21 (63)
166. Edward Cubitt 21 (75)
167. John Quinn 21 (76)
168. Andrew Jagger 21 (106)
169. Frank 21 (131)
170= Liam mackle 21 (156)
170= Richard Winton 21 (156)
172. Naren Dutta 21 (161)
173. Adam Chong 21 (166)
174. Tony Campbell 21 (206)
175. Emile Galatti 21 (213)
176. Sanjeev Menon 21 (231)
177= = Seb Hancock 21 (233)
177= Thomas Conley 21 (233)
179. Cassie McNab 21 (338)
180. Sam Akpan 21 (376)
181. Zayn Riaz 21 (379)
182. Zhoufei Shi 21 (386)
183= Claudia Gross 21 (388)
183= Saul Drury 21 (388)
185. Robell Astaw 21 (406)
186. Peter Vaughan 21 (474)
187. Maria Jansing 21 (488)
188. Kristopher Cawood 21 (508)
189. Hannelore Elsden 21 (606)
190. Hamzat Ken Isah 21 (736)
191. Douglas March 22 (6)
192. Ben Eyre-White 22 (14)
193. Lukas Lastas 22 (25)
194. Choi´╝îChing Yan (Michelle) 22 (85)
195. Rob Daniel 22 (94)
196. Dan Britton 22 (135)
197= Hannah 22 (156)
197= Karim Q 22 (156)
199. Pauline Travers 22 (188)
200. Sarah Kemsley 22 (206)
201. Kevin van der Beek 22 (228)
202. Mike Wallach 22 (233)
203. Stephen Keating 22 (256)
204. Emiliano Russo 22 (281)
205. Helen Antonis 22 (298)
206= Henry Forder 22 (306)
206= Samuel Gold 22 (306)
206= Yi Lian Lee 22 (306)
209. Bruce McRobie 22 (356)
210. Mette Lehrmann 22 (363)
211. Samina Pandor 22 (386)
212. Miles Woods 22 (388)
213. LSE (Vicky Pryce) 22 (656)
214= David Dike 23 (6)
214= Sebastian Turner 23 (6)
216. Nigel Hauck 23 (22)
217. Nina Kramer 23 (23)
218. Nathan Woolley 23 (44)
219. Lingling (Kelly) Chang 23 (85)
220. Stacia Borislavov 23 (88)
221. William Barker 23 (94)
222= David Tan 23 (106)
222= Edgar Chemla 23 (106)
224. Ross Bogert 23 (119)
225. Ezekiel Quartey 23 (130)
226. Simon de Baat 23 (156)
227. David Morgan 23 (158)
228. Lindsay Jenkins 23 (163)
229. Sarah Martin 23 (197)
230= Antonia Dineen 23 (201)
230= = Bianca Todorut 23 (201)
232. Adrian Reuter 23 (224)
233. Leighton Hughes 23 (230)
234= Anna-Rose King 23 (256)
234= Mark Hutt 23 (256)
236. Annika 23 (293)
237. Theo Banner 23 (298)
238. Archita Tayal 23 (331)
239. Michael Akerman 23 (338)
240. Mark 23 (356)
241. Cedric Ware 23 (388)
242. Sonya Swiderski 23 (723)
243. Francis Fennelly 24 (6)
244. Roman Cosentino 24 (12)
245. Gerry Mark 24 (13)
246= James Watson 24 (16)
246= Jamie Murray-Jones 24 (16)
248. Gerard Tyler 24 (19)
249. Jack Fosten 24 (77)
250. Jack Dunkelberg 24 (94)
251. Nick Rakowski 24 (104)
252. Steven Engberg 24 (108)
253. Samuel Ennis 24 (126)
254. Kurtis Henry 24 (138)
255= Emily Cutler 24 (156)
255= Piers Harmer 24 (156)
255= Stephen Clarke 24 (156)
258. Warren Quinn 24 (205)
259= David Potter 24 (206)
259= Howard Mighell 24 (206)
259= Ronaldo Nazaré 24 (206)
262. Oxford (Paul Omerod) 24 (231)
263. eleanor verrier 24 (235)
264. Brett Adessi 24 (249)
265. Nick Cattermole 24 (256)
266. Alan Coleman 24 (274)
267= Eden Hamilton 24 (306)
267= Shrina Parekh 24 (306)
269. Robbie Griffith 24 (325)
270. Nick Cartwright 24 (356)
271. Christopher Tenezaca 24 (406)
272. Zach Gillam 24 (527)
273. Lorna Epperson 24 (768)
274. Bertie Hazell 25 (4)
275. Emma Rose 25 (7)
276. James England 25 (16)
277. John Ryan 25 (54)
278. Alex Bottomley 25 (59)
279. Matt Stevensonn 25 (106)
280. James Young 25 (136)
281. Helen Mossman 25 (138)
282. James Hewett 25 (189)
283. Lochan Korpal 25 (201)
284. Michael Tattersall 25 (206)
285. John Hodgson 25 (236)
286. Saul Dawes 25 (273)
287. Bruce Hagwood 25 (274)
288. Laura Meissner 25 (313)
289. Rory Reed 25 (346)
290. Amy Popiolek 25 (350)
291. Michelle Munyi 25 (356)
292. Joyce Tao 25 (364)
293. John Koshy 25 (381)
294. Jeremy Vincent 25 (406)
295. Fin Collings 25 (656)
296. Jonathan Gusson 25 (769)
297. Sam Miller 26 (6)
298. Catrin Murphy 26 (10)
299. Lina Lukoseviciute 26 (84)
300. Natalie Wood 26 (102)
301. Zaeem Bhanji 26 (106)
302. Sam Gurbutt 26 (131)
303. Aidan McCallm 26 (161)
304. Robert Sharman 26 (178)
305. Ed Blois-Brooke 26 (187)
306. Tom Dobson 26 (188)
307. Andrea Sinnott 26 (224)
308. CATS CAMBRIDGE A2 ECONOMICS E1 26 (306)
309. Liam Jolliff 26 (316)
310. Michael Mainelli 26 (336)
311. Andrew Simon Conway 26 (431)
312. Edesiri Akati-udi 26 (566)
313. Karthik Puravankara 26 (606)
314. Ken Rice 26 (688)
315. Alexander Silver 27 (44)
316. Dom Cullum 27 (48)
317. Mark Hughes 27 (81)
318= Gary 27 (91)
318= Tom Hobohm 27 (91)
320. Deirdre Flynn 27 (103)
321. Matthew Davies 27 (106)
322. Thomas Harper 27 (118)
323. David Rios 27 (136)
324. Cristen Wegener 27 (158)
325. Adam Cooper 27 (181)
326= Eli Janowski 27 (188)
326= Sam Gagliardi 27 (188)
328= Andrew Somerville 27 (256)
328= Saatvik Bansal 27 (256)
330. Karen Cross 27 (288)
331. Teresa McCracken 27 (338)
332. Christina Wilkes 27 (363)
333. Luke Corning 27 (368)
334. Anna McKenna 27 (374)
335. Mandeeq 27 (431)
336. Meredith 27 (447)
337. d spencer 27 (1127)
338. Roy Lonergan 28 (7)
339. Andy Silvester 28 (16)
340. Jack Ellis 28 (44)
341. Jacob Rumley 28 (56)
342. Geo Sato Rain 28 (60)
343. Glen Morris 28 (62)
344. Christine 28 (86)
345. Fraser Smith 28 (94)
346. Thomas Spencer 28 (96)
347. Eric Cullen 28 (138)
348. Carl Fisher 28 (154)
349. Pooria Beigi 28 (156)
350. georgia pienaar 28 (159)
351. Anthony Glaser 28 (174)
352. John Hearn 28 (183)
353. Ben Ward 28 (254)
354. Stuart Cockburn 28 (256)
355. Martin Ward 28 (306)
356. Angela Pearce 28 (349)
357. Oskar Vaidya 28 (356)
358. Oliver Bond 28 (406)
359. Glyn Manton 28 (631)
360. Hamzat Ken Isah 28 (737)
361. Marc Brennan 28 (1095)
362. Ben Watson 29 (50)
363. Aidan Paul 29 (56)
364. Heino Vockrodt 29 (71)
365. Giacomo Donati Clarke 29 (92)
366. Georgia graham 29 (106)
367. Jon Beckett 29 (139)
368. Michael 29 (156)
369. Lucy Kyger 29 (188)
370. Daniel Hodson 29 (238)
371. Jon Moulton 29 (294)
372. Caroline Reuben 29 (334)
373. Anita Hummel 29 (404)
374. Peter Szabo 29 (506)
375. Graeme Burton 29 (556)
376. Angus Suttle 30 (56)
377. Timothy Yandle 30 (71)
378. Patrick Abbey 30 (156)
379. simon purvis 30 (181)
380. Miles Novotny 30 (206)
381. Tom Chatfield 30 (232)
382. Tom Severino 30 (388)
383. Luis Valenzuela 30 (806)
384. Polly Maguire 31 (38)
385. Will Bristol 31 (88)
386. simon opie 31 (102)
387. Emil Marlowe 31 (151)
388. Jim Bastin 31 (206)
389. Brett Schneider 31 (224)
390. Allison Jepson 31 (324)
391. Neil Scott 31 (842)
392. Aaron Finlayson 32 (56)
393. Colin 32 (93)
394. Vera Dean 32 (107)
395. Tom Noakes 32 (123)
396. Georgia Crawford Dellar 32 (162)
397. Terence Cooper 32 (382)
398. Sarath Murugan 32 (406)
399. Patrick Totty 32 (506)
400. Faye Jones 32 (585)
401. Jack Keucker 32 (606)
402. Benjamin Watson 33 (50)
403. Ben Turpin 33 (59)
404= David LT 33 (106)
404= = Johnny Reynolds 33 (106)
406. Robert Mann 33 (150)
407. Richard Starkey 33 (156)
408. Alex Thwaite 33 (180)
409. Tim Breslin 33 (181)
410. R Louis 33 (188)
411. Eman Dickens 33 (240)
412. Aagam Shah 33 (281)
413. = John Mackintosh 34 (106)
414. Joseph Runchman 34 (131)
415. Bruno Mauney 34 (299)
416. Abhai Rajguru 35 (181)
417. James Harper 35 (193)
418. Graham Ablett 35 (206)
419. Eddie Hoghton 35 (505)
420. = James Sarson 36 (6)
421. Wu Que (Titus) 36 (90)
422. Gavin 36 (107)
423. Oscar Moyes 36 (108)
424. Neil Arbore 36 (238)
425. Rob de Laszlo 36 (306)
426. Teja von Holzschueher 36 (406)
427. James Villano 36 (537)
428. Rob Clifford 37 (75)
429= Hugh Hawkins 37 (106)
429= = Kevin Osei 37 (106)
431. Edmund Dannenberg 37 (126)
432. George Oakman 38 (94)
433. = Damon de Laszlo 38 (106)
434. Peter Cummings 38 (182)
435. Karan Sanghavi 38 (206)
436. Jane Jones 38 (665)
437. = Sam Horgan 39 (85)
438. Hugo Yap 39 (238)
439. = Charles MacMillan 39 (307)
440. Nhung Doan 40 (22)
441. Stephan Michalski 40 (189)
442. Ryan Abels 40 (438)
443. Dunmola 41 (56)
444. Isabelle Barclay 41 (112)
445. Jamie Robinson 41 (134)
446. Tom Marsland 41 (157)
447= Callum Blacow 42 (56)
447= Cambridge (Graham Gudgin) 42 (56)
449. Gaurang Rami 42 (96)
450. Giacomo Cattoretti 42 (108)
451. Lindsay McKinley 42 (213)
452. Wesley Hui 42 (225)
453. Samuel Portas 43 (6)
454. Colin Taylor 43 (176)
455. William Moriarty 44 (1906)
456. Ken Liebold 45 (121)
457. Jeremy Beckwith 46 (68)
458. Michael Arnott 46 (89)
459. James 46 (1206)
460. Jacob Sorenson 47 (140)
461. borgia Su 48 (106)
462. Jeremy Tee 48 (556)
463. Naomi Cauvas 49 (244)
464. Sam Juthani 50 (194)
465. Patrick Voss 51 (162)
466. = William de Laszlo 51 (348)
467. = Joshua Parrisshind 52 (54)
468. = Arthur Jung 52 (310)
469. Abdul Dumbaya 53 (292)
470. Robert Duffy 55 (306)
471. Frank Brierley 56 (456)
472. = Thomas Brandford 57 (56)
473. = Tim Guinness 60 (131)
474. Rory Cook 62 (44926)
475. Denise Rayner 63 (288)
476. Freddy Main 63 (506)
477. Joseph Wales 63 (796)
478. William Tremelling 65 (59)
479. Kim Spreadbury 65 (181)
480. Tibor Heskett 65 (306)
481. Karnan Sembian 66 (92)
482. = Will J Burton 67 (1006)
483. jonas crosland 68 (644)
484. Joshua Bailey 69 (1291)
485. Jake Cushion 69 (1716)
486. nicholas finney 71 (51)
487. = Leo Taylor 72 (7)
488. Bolu 72 (56)
489. Rebecca Driscoll 74 (83)
490. Robin Steed 74 (106)
491. Yongze (Andy) Du 75 (79)
492. = Gregor Welton 77 (467)
493. = Maximilian Haddon 81 (21)
494. = Anna Tighe 85 (171)
495. = Peter Sainsbury 90 (19)
496. = Toby Pinto 95 (26)
497. = Gerald ringe 101 (604)
498. = Karan Garg 104 (77)
499. = Leo Solloway 106 (1292)
500. = Gillean Brook 111 (451)
501. = Benjamin Lawrence 113 (84)
502. = Alfie Cooper 113 (94348)
503. = Edward Alger 114 (1472)
504. Minming (Angela) Lai 121 (1294)
505. Owen kean 139 (84)
506. abe armstrong 140 (206)
507. Jason Nordsell 142 (114)
508. = Kevin Cahill 149 (1006)
509. = William Pierson 151 (106)
510. = Tom Elliott 160 (194)
511. = Leon Hooker 161 (1038)
512. = William Sutcliffe 165 (12)
513. = Erica Burke 180 (14)
514. = Emily Haroldson 180 (43)
515. = Fred Milano 180 (638)
516. = Paul Herbert 192 (201)
517. = Wang Chenxia (Celia) 218 (293)
518. = Callum Sheridan 258 (138)
519. = Jack Cazier 340 (33706)
(The score is calculated as the sum of the absolute differences between the predictions and reality, multiplied by ten; lowest score wins.  The number in brackets represents the tie-breaker score where appropriate).